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The Federal Reserve Raises Rates for the First Time in Three Years: How Will an Upward Shift in the Rate Path Flow Through to Crypto Asset Pricing?

The Federal Reserve Raises Rates for the First Time in Three Years: How Will an Upward Shift in the Rate Path Flow Through to Crypto Asset Pricing?

The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00% in September, with a 12-0 vote. Waller rejected forward guidance. The dot plot’s median rose to 4.125%, forcing a repricing of global asset pricing assumptions.

Blog Team2026-09-17

Why does the market expect three more Fed rate hikes next year after the Fed’s rate increase? The dot plot and interest-rate futures are diverging

Why does the market expect three more Fed rate hikes next year after the Fed’s rate increase? The dot plot and interest-rate futures are diverging

The Federal Reserve raises rates by 25 basis points after three years, bringing the target range to 3.75%–4%. Wosch says inflation is still too high. Interest-rate futures price three more hikes before mid-2025. In crypto markets, prices drop first and then stabilize. This article breaks down the dot plot, market expectations, and the transmission path into crypto assets.

Blog Team2026-09-17

Will the Fed’s September rate hike of 25 basis points mean a higher chance of another hike in October? How is event-market liquidity priced?

Will the Fed’s September rate hike of 25 basis points mean a higher chance of another hike in October? How is event-market liquidity priced?

The Fed hiked rates by 25 basis points in September to 3.75%–4.00%. The market is pricing a 45% chance of another rate hike in October. We break down the dot-plot signal, the capital-pricing logic, and how it links to the crypto market.

Blog Team2026-09-17

How Will BTC Move If the Fed Raises Rates? Deep Analysis of the Dot-Plot Hawk/Dove Scenarios and the September Liquidity Friction

How Will BTC Move If the Fed Raises Rates? Deep Analysis of the Dot-Plot Hawk/Dove Scenarios and the September Liquidity Friction

FOMC rate hike by 25 bps probability above 86%, U.S. Treasury yields break above 5%, and oil prices push past $100. We break down three scenarios from the dot plot, liquidity frictions around tax day, and BTC’s key support and resistance levels.

Blog Team2026-09-15

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Jackson Hole 2026 Preview: Can Waller’s Debut Shift the Fed’s Rate-Path Narrative?

Jackson Hole 2026 Preview: Can Waller’s Debut Shift the Fed’s Rate-Path Narrative?

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will deliver his first major speech following his inauguration at Jackson Hole on August 28. This article breaks down the current 3.50%–3.75% rate range, the policy-rate expectations implied by the dot plot, and the divergence in market pricing. It also highlights five key takeaways to watch for in Powell’s Jackson Hole debut.

Is the U.S. stock market heading toward a bubble? CAPE Approaches 2000 Peak—Can AI Stocks Sustain Their Lofty Valuations?

Is the U.S. stock market heading toward a bubble? CAPE Approaches 2000 Peak—Can AI Stocks Sustain Their Lofty Valuations?

Shiller CAPE reaches 41x, nearing dot-com bubble levels, while the 30-year US Treasury yield breaks above 5.3%. This article analyzes the future trajectory of AI stocks, valuation risks, and asset allocation strategies.

Blog Team2026-08-21

Grayscale Withdraws Three Altcoin ETF Applications: What’s Next for ADA, DOT, and HBAR?

Grayscale Withdraws Three Altcoin ETF Applications: What’s Next for ADA, DOT, and HBAR?

Grayscale withdrew the S-1 registration statements for its spot ETFs—Cardano, Hedera, and Polkadot—in just 190 seconds on August 7, 2026.

AI Spending Arms Race Reaches Critical Stage: Do Tesla and Google Pullbacks Signal a Tech Stock Valuation Reset?

AI Spending Arms Race Reaches Critical Stage: Do Tesla and Google Pullbacks Signal a Tech Stock Valuation Reset?

Tesla plunged 14.52% in a single day, while Google dropped 6.89%. Surging AI capital expenditures are reshaping the valuation logic of tech stocks. This article breaks down the $725 billion spending plans of the four major cloud providers and examines their return-on-investment challenges, exploring whether AI infrastructure is repeating the patterns of the dot-com bubble.

Blog Team2026-07-24

Bitwise Crypto ETF Rebalances: Removes DOT and AVAX, Adds HYPE and XLM—What Are Institutions Betting On?

Bitwise Crypto ETF Rebalances: Removes DOT and AVAX, Adds HYPE and XLM—What Are Institutions Betting On?

Analyzing the Rebalancing Strategies of Index Funds, the Rise of On-Chain Trading on Hyperliquid, and the Shift in Institutional Investment Trends

Blog Team2026-07-10