TRUMP Coin historical price analysis

TRUMP Coin is a personal MEME coin launched by the 45th and 47th President of the United States, Donald Trump, on January 18, 2025, based on the Solana blockchain. Unlike many traditional cryptocurrencies aimed at actual transactions, value storage, or financial applications, TRUMP Coin carries more symbolic significance for the personal image and related ideas of Trump, extending as a cultural and political symbol. In terms of token supply mechanism, the total supply is limited to 1 billion coins. In the initial issuance, 200 million coins (20%) are open to the public for trading, while the remaining 800 million coins (80%) are controlled by the entity ‘Fight Fight Fight’ owned jointly by Trump’s companies CIC Digital and CIC, with plans to gradually unlock these tokens over the next three years.

Image source:https://gettrumpmemes.com/#how-to

Once launched on January 18, 2025, TRUMP coin showed an astonishing surge. According to Gate.io trading data, the price soared by up to 1250% on the same day, reaching 28.539 USDT. As per CoinGecko data, the market value of the coin skyrocketed to $4 billion within a day, quickly ranking fourth in the Meme coin market value list. The sharp price increase in this phase is mainly attributed to the promotion by Trump himself on social media, attracting a lot of investors’ attention and buying interest. Fans and speculators in the cryptocurrency market have high hopes for the coin, rushing in to buy, causing a significant surge in demand surpassing supply in the short term, driving prices sharply upwards.

Image source:https://www.gate.io/trade/TRUMP_USDT

On January 19, the price of TRUMP coin reached $47, and Melania, the wife of Donald Trump, announced the launch of Melania Coin (MELANIA), which significantly impacted the price of TRUMP coin. Subsequently, the price of TRUMP experienced some fluctuations, dropping to $36 on January 20. The introduction of Melania Coin diverted some attention and funds in the market, making the price trend of TRUMP coin more complex. The price of TRUMP coin entered a phase of frequent fluctuations, dropping to a low of $15. On one hand, influenced by the overall cryptocurrency market, the fluctuations in mainstream cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin will drive changes in market sentiment and capital flow. On the other hand, the market supply and demand relationship of TRUMP coin is also constantly adjusting. As more tokens gradually unlock and enter the market, the increase in supply exerts downward pressure on the price. Moreover, investors’ expectations of Trump’s political dynamics and their confidence in the coin are constantly changing, thereby affecting the balance of power between buyers and sellers and price trends.

As of February 22, 2025, the price of TRUMP is $16.24, with a trading volume of $3.22 million in the next 24 hours.

TRUMP Coin spot trading address:https://www.gate.io/trade/TRUMP_USDT

TRUMP Coin price influencing factors

(1) Market manipulation suspected

TRUMP Coin has serious suspicions of market manipulation. It was created 12 hours before Trump officially announced it, with internal personnel buying large amounts in advance. For example, the first account publicly betting on Trump Coin was created 3 hours before Trump announced the issuance of the meme coin, with a bet amount of over $1 million. In the initial few minutes of trading, a crypto wallet with the identifier 6QSc2Cx acquired 5,971,750 new tokens at an opening price of 18 cents each, and then the price of these meme coins soared. Some insiders made huge profits in a few days, indicating that the market may not operate fairly and transparently, greatly distorting the true value and future price trends of the coin.

(2) Regulatory Risk

In the United States, the regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies is complex and constantly changing. Given the controversial nature of Trump Coin and the possibility of market manipulation, regulatory agencies will undoubtedly closely monitor it. Former cryptocurrency advisor at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Corey Frayer, has stated that Trump is involved in a cryptocurrency scheme that harms investor interests. Once regulatory agencies such as the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) classify it as a security rather than a legitimate cryptocurrency, trading restrictions are likely to be imposed, which will have a significant negative impact on its price.

(3) Trump’s political and public image

Trump coin is closely related to Donald Trump, and his political activities and public image have a significant impact on the coin price. If Trump continues to be active in the public eye and maintain a high-profile political career, it may attract more investors and support the price; conversely, any negative events or controversies involving Trump may lead to loss of investor confidence and consequent price decline. For example, some of Trump’s supporters have criticized him for issuing coins, believing that it damages his reputation. This negative public opinion may affect investors’ confidence in Trump coin.

Image source:https://x.com/realDonaldTrump

(4) Supply and Demand Dynamics

Currently, there are only 200 million Trump coins in circulation, but the supply will increase to 1 billion within the next three years. With more tokens entering the market, if demand does not grow accordingly, according to the law of supply and demand, the increased supply will likely exert downward pressure on prices.

Image source:https://solscan.io/token/6p6xgHyF7AeE6TZkSmFsko444wqoP15icUSqi2jfGiPN#holders

TRUMP Coin price prediction

(1) Short-term Forecast

From the perspective of market supply and demand, in the short term, the circulation of Trump Coin is relatively stable, but the market demand is extremely unstable. Currently, a large number of investors are in a state of loss, and they are like startled birds. Once there is any sign of further price decline in the market, out of the instinct of stop-loss, it is likely to trigger a large-scale sell-off. Just like on January 19, 2025, when Melania, the wife of Trump, announced the launch of Melania Coin (MELANIA), market funds were quickly diverted, and the price of Trump Coin fluctuated accordingly. If there is no significant positive news to stimulate demand in the future, only from the current state of supply and demand imbalance, there will be enormous downward pressure on the price.

Image source:https://cryptopriceperdiction-isshiliu.streamlit.app/

On the investor sentiment front, the current market is quite fragile in its confidence in Trump Coin. On the one hand, the previous price crash has caused many investors to suffer heavy losses, leading to concerns about the future trend of the coin; on the other hand, there is a continuous flow of negative news about Trump Coin in the market, such as being questioned for market manipulation, further weakening investors’ confidence.

However, Trump’s every move in the political arena still attracts a lot of attention. If he posts positive news related to Trump Coin on social media or announces new cooperation projects, with his large fan base and strong appeal, it may also spark investors’ enthusiasm in the short term, attracting new funds to enter the market, leading to a brief price rebound. However, such emotion-driven price fluctuations are often difficult to sustain, with extremely high uncertainty.

(2) Long-Term Forecast

From a technical application perspective, Trump Coin, as a meme coin, lacks the underlying technical support and practical application scenarios like mainstream cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. In the cryptocurrency market, in the long run, technical strength and application value are key factors determining whether a coin can sustain development. For example, Ethereum has built a huge decentralized application ecosystem with its smart contract technology, attracting a large number of developers and users, thus maintaining high value and market position. Trump Coin lacks these substantial technological and application advantages, making it difficult to stand out in long-term market competition, with its price lacking long-term stable support.

From a macroeconomic and regulatory perspective, the supply of Trump Coin is expected to increase significantly over the next three years, from the current 200 million to 1 billion. At the same time, the global cryptocurrency market is facing increasingly stringent regulatory environments, and Trump Coin is also facing significant regulatory uncertainties. Corey Frayer, a former cryptocurrency advisor to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, has stated that Trump is involved in a cryptocurrency scheme that harms investor interests. Once regulatory agencies impose strict regulations on it, such as classifying it as a security for regulation and restricting trading, this will have a devastating impact on its market circulation and price. Under the dual pressures of increasing supply and regulatory risks, Trump Coin is likely to gradually lose market competitiveness in the long term, becoming insignificant in the cryptocurrency market, with prices maintaining at extremely low levels or even approaching zero.

Risk Warning

In short, due to the existence of various complex and often unpredictable factors, predicting the price of TRUMP Coin is a highly challenging task. Although its price has experienced drastic fluctuations in the past, its future remains highly uncertain, and potential investors should be extremely cautious.