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#ETH巨鲸增持 Let's discuss the trend judgment of Ethereum in early December:
From a long-term perspective, if the daily line is really going to make a push, the ceiling is likely in the range of 3500 to 3600. What needs to be watched out for right now are some actions from the domestic central bank, as this negative factor hasn't been fully digested yet. However, the good news is that the balance sheet reduction officially stopped on December 1, and with the market's expectations for interest rate cuts becoming stronger, these are all potential catalysts.
On the technical front, the support at the bottom on the hourly chart is looking at the 2960-3000 range. This position has been ground out for quite some time recently, and the bottom oscillation pattern is basically complete. Currently, I haven't found a particularly ideal entry point for contracts, so I will wait and see. As for spot trading, I have positions myself, with a cost around 3010, currently holding 40% of my position. If it pulls back to the 2960-3000 support zone, I will consider adding a bit more. The first target above is 3200, where there is a resonance pressure zone on the four-hour and daily charts.
The short-term strategy is to closely monitor the bottom range of 2960-3000. As long as it holds and does not break, we continue to be bullish. On a smaller scale, we may have to oscillate back and forth between 3000-3050 for a while.