刚冲上7.8万美元就被泼冷水，伊朗的这波回复会是牛市陷阱吗？

Bitcoin price rebounded strongly on Friday due to Trump’s announcement of the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, soaring to a 10-week high above $78,000, then pulling back to around $77,000.

A principal factor behind this market movement is Trump’s claim yesterday that significant progress has been made in the negotiations for a permanent peace agreement, with the deal "basically completed," more talks scheduled for this weekend, and Iran having agreed to an indefinite halt to its nuclear program.

Iranian Speaker Ghalibaf denied Trump’s positive statements, saying passage still needs to follow the “designated route” and be authorized by Iran. But if the US continues its blockade, Iran will close the strait, and Trump’s seven prior declarations are all false, he claims.

The market reacted quickly to Trump’s initial easing statements, with BTC price breaking through $78,300, reaching the highest level since early February. However, a subsequent correction occurred, and it is now slightly below $77,000.

Analysts believe that this recent rise is mainly due to expectations of easing tensions in the Middle East, but if Iran’s denial is confirmed, Bitcoin could soon face resistance to further gains.

According to market rules, unless another major event occurs, Bitcoin prices tend to remain relatively stable over the weekend, meaning a higher probability of larger price fluctuations within the next 48 hours (roughly after Sunday evening).

Finally, do you think Bitcoin’s brief surge past $78,000 on Friday is a trap to lure buyers or a genuine breakout? And will Iran’s statements become the trigger for a significant drop in Bitcoin’s price next week?