According to CNBC, options traders on Tuesday made large bullish bets on long-duration U.S. Treasuries as the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT-US) saw surging call volumes. Call volume on TLT exceeded 175,000 contracts compared to approximately 40,000 put contracts, signaling expectations

The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) fell to $81.89 on Friday (August 14), hitting a fresh 52-week low and marking a 50% decline from its $179.70 peak in March 2020. When adjusted for inflation—which has risen 29% since March 2020—long-term bond holders face real losses approaching 65%,

According to Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas, bond ETFs including AGG, TLT, and LQD have failed to hedge stock declines since the SPY retreated from its June highs. The situation mirrors conditions seen in 2022. In response, money market mutual funds and buffer ETFs have experienced

According to SentimenTrader data released on June 17, crude oil prices fell 10.31% over the past 5 trading days, while the long-term U.S. Treasury ETF TLT gained 1.30%.
Historical data shows that since 2008, when this market combination occurs—oil declining sharply while Treasury bonds rise—the

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The largest U.S. long-term Treasury exchange-traded fund (ETF) suffered its biggest drop on record on expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates high for longer. According to relevant data, the $39 billion iShares 20+ Year U.S. Treasury Bond ETF (code TLT) has fallen 48% from its historical high in 2020, and its trading price is the lowest since 2011. Meanwhile, IHS Markit Ltd. data showed short bets on the ETF have increased, with short positions reaching the highest level in about a month as a share of outstanding fund shares. “It’s all about interest rate expectations — inflation triggering a sharp rise in interest rates, coupled with a stronger-than-expected economy, means rates will continue to move higher,” said Todd Sohn, ETF and technology strategist at Strategas Securities. “There are further rate hikes. possible, so duration will be affected.”