#美联储回购协议计划 During holidays, liquidity tightens, providing everyone with a breather. These days, the US stock market is on holiday, so we will discuss trading strategies and market analysis together. The overall situation remains volatile. During the US holiday, negative news has basically disappeared, and BlackRock has also stopped selling, instead increasing holdings in Bitcoin and Ethereum recently. The current sluggish market is mainly a residual effect of the adjustment on October 11. To regain bullish confidence, we need positive signals from policy. I remain bullish on the major trend for next year, and after the holiday, we should see some proactive moves, so there's no need to be overly pessimistic. In the past few days, Bitcoin has been fluctuating between around 8600 and 9100. In a low liquidity environment, major players often use holidays to do false breakouts to harvest liquidity. It is recommended to set stop-loss orders on one side or hold light positions with supplementary buying strategies; the key is position control. I lean towards a bullish stance at low levels. In the short term, the bottom should be nearby. If the current support level holds during the holiday, there is a high probability of a rapid rebound after being knocked down—liquidity has accumulated quite sufficiently, and a major liquidation event is imminent. I am bullish on this round. **$BTC Trading Plan:** Aggressive shorts around 87800, reduce positions or stop-loss quickly if it drops 400 points. Alternatively, add to longs at 88300, with stop-loss above 88500. Place a safe short order at 89500, with a low probability of execution within the day, stop-loss 500 points, take-profit 1000 points. For longs, position around 87000; if broken, add at 86000, with a stop-loss of 500 points and take-profit of 1000 points. The extreme bottom is at 83800. **$ETH Trading Plan:** Aggressive short at 2970 with a 15-point stop-loss and a 30-point take-profit. Conservative short at 3000 with the same stop-loss and take-profit, with an extreme target of 3033. For longs, position around 2930; if broken, place orders at 2900, with a 10-point stop-loss and 30-point take-profit, aiming for reduction of positions. Steady longs at 2870, with a 15-point stop-loss to play for the bottom, with an extreme target of 2805. **$SOL Trading Plan:** Long positions at 120.6 with a 1-point stop-loss and 2-point take-profit, aiming for a bottom at 118. Extreme bottom at 118. Short positions at 124.7 with a 1-point stop-loss and 2-point reduction. Aggressive short at 127.5, with a 1-point stop-loss and 2-point take-profit. The core logic is: during low liquidity periods, major players often use false breakouts to harvest liquidity, so defense must be strict. Light positions combined with stop-loss orders are the best strategy. $BTC

12.24 Wednesday Night BTC/ETH Silk露 Sharing Today is Christmas Eve. Wishing everyone a Merry Christmas Eve! Currently, the market is at a critical stage, with Bitcoin stuck within a range, hesitant to move up or down. From the trend perspective, the market may become clearer after Christmas, so if you're not in a hurry to trade, taking a break is also good; if you want to participate, you can try short-term trades with a small position. First, analyze from the daily chart level: strong resistance above at 94,000, and key support below at 85,000. Recently, a "Evening Star" bearish signal appeared on the daily chart. If the next candle closes lower, the trend may weaken further. At the same time, the daily chart is forming a potential top arc structure, with the neckline around 84,000. Regarding indicators, MACD remains in a golden cross, but the upward momentum has significantly weakened, and RSI has already formed a death cross, indicating that the daily trend is gradually weakening. Next, observe from the four-hour chart: the price is currently at the intersection of major and minor trend lines, a sensitive position. To strengthen in the short term, it needs to break through 89,300 first, then challenge 91,000; if it falls below 84,500, it means the upward structure since the end of last year may be broken, and the downtrend could be confirmed. Overall, the market has entered a critical stage, with signs of weakening on the daily chart. It is recommended to stay on the sidelines and focus on the support strength in the 84,500 to 85,200 range. If it holds, the market can still maintain oscillation; if it breaks below, the trend may turn downward. Bitcoin trades in the 87,700-88,200 range, targeting around 85,400 Altcoin 2990-3010 range, targeting around 2850 $BTC $ETH $SOL #BTC行情分析 #ETH走势分析 #美股圣诞行情开启 #现货黄金再创新高 #加密市场小幅回暖

12.24 ETH Evening Trend Forecast and Analysis I. Core Market Signal Analysis 1. Key Support and Resistance Zones - Support Zone: 2910-2920 (with the intraday low at 2912.18 as the core), is the short-term extreme defense level for the bulls. This zone absorbs the bottom-fishing funds from panic sell-offs during the day. Holding this zone will cause the downward momentum to quickly weaken; 2930-2935 is a short-term technical support, serving as the central pivot point of the current consolidation. - Resistance Zone: 2940-2950 is the first rebound resistance in the evening, with multiple rejections at this level during the day; 2960-2970 is the second resistance zone (relay resistance during intraday pullbacks). Breaking through requires increased volume support; otherwise, it may trigger bearish selling pressure. 2. Volume and Momentum Judgment During the day, ETH quickly declined from 2976.48 to 2912.18, then rebounded to 2934.11, with trading volume continuously decreasing. This indicates that while bearish selling pressure has been somewhat released, the bullish counterattack lacks additional capital support. It is a weak recovery phase, with overall momentum leaning towards the bears. 3. Technical Pattern Features The hourly chart shows a “sharp decline + weak rebound” pattern, with small candlestick bodies and short upper shadows during the rebound, indicating that the bulls’ upward probing strength is very weak and no effective reversal signal has formed yet. II. Specific Evening Trend Forecast 1. Main Scenario: Weak Consolidation in the 2910-2950 Range ETH is expected to fluctuate within this range tonight. Due to the residual bearish momentum and the lack of bullish strength, the rebound to 2940-2950 will be met with resistance and likely pull back. When falling back to 2910-2920, technical buying support may emerge. Overall, the market will be weak and consolidative, unlikely to see a strong rebound. 2. - Downward Break: If selling pressure increases again, ETH may break below the 2910 support, further declining towards the 2900 mark, and possibly testing the 2880-2890 zone. - Upward Breakout: If a sudden influx of funds causes a volume breakout above 2940, it may attempt to test 2960-2970 in the short term, but lacking sustained momentum, it is likely to retreat after a quick rise. Recommendation: Short at 2970-2990, target 2920-2900 #2025Gate年度账单 #加密市场小幅回暖 #ETH走势分析