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市場裡經常會出現這麼一個現象——大額資金流向不均,價格劇烈波動幾個月,然後呢?往往就完成了均值回歸。
這個過程其實就是財富在重新配置。早期進場的、抄底的,他們的籌碼成本遠低於後來追高的人。當市場在某個價位反覆震盪時,這種不對稱就越來越明顯。一旦市場找到平衡點,持籌集中度達到臨界值,快速的均值回歸就會發生——有人割肉,有人獲利,中間位置的散戶往往成為大方向的墊腳石。
所以說,看懂了財富錯配的周期,你就看懂了半個加密市場。