## 📈 Market Analysis Ethereum has fluctuated within the **$2,919.47 to $3,150.16** range over the **past 3 days**, climbing by over **5%** as price and volume surged together. Daily **RSI reached 98.7**, signaling an overbought technical setup with risks of a short-term pullback near $3,150.16 (past 3-day high). ## 📄 News Focus - **Ethereum’s institutional adoption accelerates**: 2026 sees DeFi and asset tokenization become mainstream, with steady inflows from major funds and the industry entering a new “institutional era”; - **Vitalik’s review of 2025** highlights scalability and privacy upgrades, stressing long-term sustainable growth for the network; - **Zama privacy stablecoin goes live, strengthening on-chain security**: Ethereum’s privacy features gain community support, spurring DeFi momentum; - **Crypto × AI narrative gains traction with continuous innovation in automation and decentralized apps**, spotlighting the next wave of cross-industry developments.   Overall, technical progress and institutional news reinforce ETH’s long-term outlook, but near-term overbought signals and shifting positions pose short-term risks. ## 🧐 Market Sentiment - Overall crypto market is in a state of **fear** (**Crypto Fear & Greed Index 28**), with low risk appetite showing initial signs of recovery; - Social media discussions are increasing, with divided views: some bullish on ETH’s institutional push, others wary of overbought conditions; - KOL opinions lean bullish; on-chain inflows support sentiment improvement as major funds enter the space. ## ✨ Key Points to Watch - **Whether trading volume continues to rise**: Sustained price and volume confirms strength; otherwise rally momentum is limited; - **How on-chain capital flows shift**: Large inflows or outflows could swiftly impact short-term moves—monitor whale activity; - **Macro policy trends**: Regulatory and monetary policy remain the main market drivers, with 2026 policy shifts offering new opportunities; - **Institutional buying or selling activity**: ETF and DeFi participation will directly affect price direction and sentiment; - **Whether market consensus shifts from division to unity**: The formation of bullish or bearish consensus often signals major trend changes.   Overall, ETH shows short-term sentiment recovery but remains overbought. Future trend depends on trading volume, capital flows, and macro policy adjustments.

Last Friday's market was truly tumultuous—starting from early morning, it maintained an upward momentum, with the daytime trading steadily increasing. In the evening, the price surged toward the 90,000 level but faced resistance and pulled back. Subsequently, the US stock market opened high but closed low, and the market regained its momentum, briefly reaching a high of 90,945. After this rally, the market consolidated around a thousand points, currently testing the 89,800 level repeatedly. Ethereum followed the overall trend, falling from 3,149 back to around 3,100, also in a range-bound oscillation. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's daily chart is in an interesting pattern—price broke out from the Bollinger middle band resistance zone and has now stabilized above the middle band. After breaking above the upper band, it pulled back, and with the Bollinger bands tightening significantly, this often indicates an imminent trend reversal. The four-hour chart shows more detailed behavior: after a surge, the price consolidated near the upper Bollinger band, forming a high-level consolidation. The doji candlestick completed a short-term correction but without a deep retracement, indicating that the selling pressure is weakening and the bulls are gaining control. The bullish logic is gradually being established, and market sentiment is clearly leaning bullish. The hourly chart shows a clear upward channel extension: the recent strong rally effectively broke through key resistance and stabilized above the previous resistance zone, opening the door for further upward movement. The next target is likely to be the upper boundary of the channel, aiming for the next significant area. **Trading Strategy**: The best time to go long is during a pullback to support levels, following the oscillating upward trend for swing trading. Going with the trend is key. **Price References**: $BTC can consider going long around 89,000-89,500, targeting 92,000 $ETH can be positioned around 3,100-3,120, aiming for 3,250

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