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Scenario of Decrease #BTC & #ETH
(2025–2030)
Title:
"The Era of Neo-Protectionism and the Fall of Digital Assets"
---
Year 2025 - The Beginning of the Fall
Main Event:
Trump resumes office and immediately imposes high tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China.
Global sentiment is deteriorating, US inflation is rising.
Investors are starting to withdraw funds from risky markets including crypto.
BTC Price: Down from $100,000 to $75,000
ETH Price: Decreased from $5,000 to $3,200
Note: Massive liquidation actions and a decline in capital flows from Asia.
---
Year 2026 - Geopolitical Reactions & Tight Monetary Policy
Main Event:
China and the EU retaliate against US tariffs with crypto trade protection.
The Fed raised interest rates, making the dollar more attractive compared to BTC.
Countries are starting to develop CBDC (Central Bank Digital Currency) which shifts the appeal of crypto.
BTC Price: Down to $58,000
ETH Price: Dropped to $2,000
Note: Stablecoins are more dominant, ETH is experiencing a large outflow due to the weakening DeFi sector.
---
Year 2027 - NFT Bubble & Blockchain Collapse
Main Event:
A major scandal in the NFT market and blockchain projects defaulting on payments (similar to the LUNA crash).
The SEC and the US government are tightening taxes on digital transactions including ETH.
The capital gains tax on crypto has been increased from 15% to 35%.
BTC Price: Dropped to $41,000
ETH Price: Dropped to $1,100
Note: Market participants are starting to lose long-term confidence.
---
Year 2028 - Market Capitalization Collapses
Main Event:
The SEC classifies most altcoins as securities.
ETH is classified as a "derivative commodity" and is subject to additional taxes.
Many institutional investors have exited, leaving only retail users and speculators.
BTC Price: Down to $26,000
ETH Price: Dropped to $600
Note: BTC hashrate is decreasing, many miners have stopped operations as it is no longer profitable.
---
Year 2029–2030 - Low Point & Consolidation
Main Event:
Crypto returns to the "dark ages", major projects are in a coma.
The US government nationalizes the mining sector for "data sovereignty."
Trump launched the "US Blockchain Sovereign Network" and banned foreign cross-chain transactions.
BTC Price: Dropped to $14,500
ETH Price: Dropped to $350
Note: The market has started to stagnate, used only for niche and shadow markets.
---
For 5 years, BTC has lost 85% from its peak, and ETH plummeted by 93%. Global protectionism, tax regulatory pressure, and a breakdown of public trust have been the main catalysts for this decline, which could be a new beginning and an opportunity for ( to start dominating with new technology.