#Join Alpha RION Airdrop to Earn $40#

Price & Market Snapshot

0-1Current price: ≈ $0.358 (-11% in last 24 hrs) with ~$160–170 M trading volume – deepest dip since February 2025 

306-0Circulating supply: ~7.7 B PI; market cap: around $2.78 B 

409-0All-time high (ATH): ~$2.99 in February 2025—Pi is now down ~85–90% from peak 

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⚙️ Key Drivers Behind the Sell-Off

🔓 Massive Token Unlocks

528-0August marks the release of ~160 M PI tokens, the largest monthly unlock ever, with daily new supply dropping to ~5M—affecting liquidity and pricing pressure 

🚨 Lockup Program & Community Backlash

811-0Pi Network introduced 200% post‑migration lockup incentives, asking users to voluntarily freeze tokens—triggering backlash due to falling price, slow Mainnet rollouts, and perceived lack of utility 

🐋 Mysterious Whale Accumulation

1089-0A single wallet (GAS…ODM) has amassed ~331M PI coins, raising speculation over insider accumulation or Pi Team buybacks. This may pull supply out of circulation—but also raises centralization concerns 

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🧾 Technical Analysis & Outlook

📉 Near-Term Support & Resistance

1348-0Critical support zone: $0.32. Below this, panic selling could drive price toward $0.30 or lower 

1562-0Resistance levels: $0.40–0.44. Clearing this zone could ease bearish momentum. A break above $0.47–$0.50 could signal a reversal toward $0.63–$0.74 

📉 Indicator Signals

1751-0MACD momentum is weak or bearish; RSI is oversold (~26), signaling possible short-term bounce but overall bearish structure remains 

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📅 Medium-Term Outlook (Aug–Dec 2025)

1959-0One forecast suggests prices may lift to $0.58–$0.60 by late 2025, assuming ecosystem development picks up and unlock supply tapers off  . 2166-0CoinCodex projects a rebound into the $0.267–$0.29 range in September with ~20% gains from current levels—if downside is avoided  .

2321-0More bullish long-term stances (e.g., Dr. Altcoin) argue for higher returns over several years, citing analogies with early BTC/ETH accumulation cycles  .

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⚠️ Risks & Watchlist

Risk Factor Impact

Continued unlocks Persistent inflation pressure unless uptake matches supply
Lack of utility Slow ecosystem rollout undermines use-case expansion
Community trust Discontent over lockups, listing delays, and PR missteps

👉 Watch for milestones such as Binance listing, Mainnet Open release, and real-world dApp adoption to shift sentiment.

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✅ Summary

Pi Coin is in steep decline—down ~85–90% from its ATH—as large token unlocks, weak momentum, and lack of utility overshadow accumulation narratives. Short-term risk prevails unless the price can reclaim $0.40–0.44 resistance. On the upside, successful lockup participation, ecosystem growth, and potential listings could stabilize supply and foster 'buy-the-dip' interest. For patient investors, mid-to-late 2025 may present recovery windows, but sentiment is fragile.