2025-08-21 04:58:06

On the 21st of the month, the Fed released the minutes of the July meeting this morning, which pointed out that the trade war brings significant uncertainty, and the downward revision of non-farm data exacerbates concerns about economic slowdown. According to Polymarket data, the current market expectation for a 25 basis point rate cut in September has fallen to 68%, while the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut has dropped to 2%.

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· 08-21 04:58

On the 21st of the month, the Fed released the minutes of the July meeting this morning, which pointed out that the tariff war has brought significant uncertainty, and the downward revision of non-farm payrolls has intensified concerns about economic slowdown. According to Polymarket data, the current market expectation for a 25 basis point rate cut in September has fallen to 68%, while the probability of a 50 basis point cut has dropped to 2%.

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