DOGE is about to break 1 USD

September 14, 2025 13:17
Guangdong

A few days ago, DOGE was still grinding around $0.2, and suddenly it burst like chicken blood, rushing directly to the $0.3 mark. But behind the excitement, there are always some heart-wrenching things: many retail investors just "took profit and ran away" around $0.25, turned their heads and watched the price continue to jump up, patting their thighs and turning red; On the other hand, as if they had discussed, the institutions gathered and announced "I want to enter the market". This scene is very similar to the retail investor just getting off the car at the door, and the agency rushes to the car with luggage, focusing on a "reverse operation". What everyone is most concerned about is: Can this wave of heat last until the beginning of October? Can Dogecoin really touch the $1 threshold? Today, let's not beat around the bush and go straight to the topic. Why were retail investors thrown off at around 0.25? If you talk too much, it's all about the psychological level of tears: being pressed on the ground by "panic + greed" to rub retail investors to speculate on stocks and coins, the most escapable thing is the "emotional roller coaster", as well as a long-term boiled frog in warm water. Dogecoin rose from 0.1 to 0.2, and many people began to beat the drum in their hearts: "It's gone up so much, what if it falls back?" Greed made them want to "wait a little longer", but they panicked and feared that "profits would fly", so they simply gritted their teeth and "fell into their pockets" - as soon as they were sold out, the price jumped by another $0.05, and they were directly stunned. There is even more: when I saw that the price had pulled back by $0.02 slightly, I immediately felt that "it's over, it's going to collapse", and I hurriedly threw it all away. Let's just say, how can cryptocurrencies not fluctuate? It's like bargaining in the vegetable market, you can't help waiting for two more minutes, but you won't be "washed" out of the market. Funds and position management: full leverage = put eggs in a basket and dangle a lot of retail investors to play Dogecoin, which is like "gambling": either throw all the money into it and do it full; Either they feel that "the principal is not enough to earn", and secretly increase the leverage. The result? The price shook slightly, and the people with full positions watched the account balance "jump up and down", and their hearts were about to jump out, and they sold in a panic; The leverage is even worse, and the "forced liquidation" will be triggered if it falls a little, and it will be directly "kicked off" by the platform, and there is no chance to react. I had a friend before, who took 5,000 yuan of principal and added 5 times leverage to buy Dogecoin, and made 2,000 when it rose to 0.2. Perception of the market: follow the trend to buy coins = run the traffic light with their eyes closedMany retail investors buy Dogecoin, all relying on "what others say": someone in the group shouts "it's going to rise", and immediately follows the trend to buy; When I swiped the short video and said "I can get 1 US dollar", I felt stable. As for the "fundamentals" of Dogecoin's community activity and application scenarios, I don't know anything; Looking at the K-line is like reading a book from the sky, and it is not even clear what the meaning of "moving average long arrangement" is. When the market fluctuates, others say "it's going to fall", and they hurry up to sell. It's like running a traffic light with your eyes closed, if you are lucky, you will be "hit" if you are unlucky-$0.2 will be thrown off the car, which is essentially "cognition can't keep up with the market". Institutions enter the market at this time: it's not stupid, it's really optimistic about Dogecoin's "long-term potential": don't make quick money, earn "long-term meal tickets" Institutions are different from retail investors, people buy coins like "choosing long-term meal tickets", and they won't look at the short-term increase of a few cents. Dogecoin has one of the biggest advantages: the community can play. So many fans around the world "Amway" on social media every day, and the popularity remains high all year round; And now more and more merchants are beginning to accept Dogecoin payments, from coffee shops to e-commerce platforms, slowly changing from "meme coins" to "usable coins". The research team of the institution has long figured out this, and they feel that entering the market now is equivalent to "stockpiling at a low price", and when the application scenarios of Dogecoin are wider in the future, the price will naturally rise - this is not a bet, but a calculation of the "long-term value". Layout of the "bull market trend": hitchhiking, you have to occupy a seat in advance Now the overall cryptocurrency market is a "bull market atmosphere", Bitcoin and Ethereum are rising, and Dogecoin, as a "hot player", will definitely not fall behind. Institutions have a large amount of capital, and opening a position is like "taking a train", you have to buy tickets in advance to occupy a seat, and it is impossible to wait for the price to rise to $0.5 before entering the market - the cost is too high at that time. Just like before the rise of Ethereum, institutions were also slowly buying at a low price, and when the market came, they directly followed to make a wave. Buying Dogecoin now is essentially "laying out the bull market in advance", and by the time retail investors react, they have already sat firmly. Use fluctuations to "make the difference": sell high and buy low, and reduce the cost to the lowest institution, and there is a "sao operation": use market fluctuations to "sell high and buy low". For example, when Dogecoin rises to $0.25, they sell some of it first, and then buy it back when it pulls back to $0.2. Retail investors feel that "volatility is scary", but institutions feel that "volatility is an opportunity" - after all, they have a professional trading team that can accurately judge when to sell and when to buy, which is the gap between "financial strength + experience". The dog broke through $1 before the beginning of October: is there a play? Objectively speaking, the probability and risk are on the technical side: $0.25 is the "first hurdle", and there was a drama in the past from the K-line, Dogecoin's wave has risen really fiercely: the moving average is all upward, and the trading volume is also enlarged, indicating that there are many people who buy and funds are entering the market. But the problem is that when it reaches around $0.25, it is like encountering a "roadblock" and begins to oscillate; Moreover, the RSI indicator is already "overbought", which simply means "it has risen too fast, and it may have to take a break". If it can break through $0.3 steadily, and the trading volume does not decrease, it is possible to rush up to $0.4 or $0.5, and $1 is not completely hopeless; But if you can't break through and fall back below $0.2, then if you think of $1 before the beginning of October, it's basically no fun - the technical side is stuck here. Fundamentals: Lack of "big news" boost, relying on the heat alone is not enough for Dogecoin's current "good", mainly because of the community fever and the entry of institutions, but there is still a lack of "big news" to boost. For example, before Ethereum tripled, it was because of the "outbreak of stablecoin applications"; Bitcoin rose because of the "ETF approval". Dogecoin costs $1, and there are either "large companies announcing the use of Dogecoin for payment" or "celebrity platforms" (such as Musk sending another related message). If there is such "big news" before the beginning of October, the price will definitely explode; But if there has been no movement, relying on the current heat alone, it can rise, but it is too difficult to rush to $1 - after all, "the heat will recede, and fundamentals are fundamental". Market sentiment: Optimism is a good thing, but don't float too much The overall sentiment in the currency circle is very optimistic, everyone feels that "the bull market is coming", and there are many people who buy Dogecoin. But emotions are such things that change when they say they change. In case of negative news such as "tightening regulatory policies" and "a problem with a big platform", the market will immediately panic, and Dogecoin will also fall. Just like before the SEC sued an exchange, Dogecoin fell 10% on the same day. So no matter how good your mood is right now, you have to keep an eye on it - don't think that "you can definitely get $1", the risk is always there. Crypto players should deal with: don't panic, retail investors who are thrown off the car according to their own situation: don't chase high, wait for the callback, learn more, don't rush to chase when the price rises, in case you chase at the high point, you will lose when you pull back. You can wait until the price falls back to around $0.2 and the technical situation is okay (for example, the moving average is still up), and then consider entering the market. What's more: I was thrown out of the car this time, and I had to learn a lesson. Take a look at the fundamentals of Dogecoin, learn how to look at the K-line, and don't follow the trend to buy - the cognition has been raised, and it will not be "washed out" next time. Dogecoin holders: Don't be greedy, set a take-profit and stop-loss, don't think "you must sell for $1", and take it when you see it. You can set a take profit level, such as selling half when it rises to $0.4 to lock in profits, and then set a stop loss level, such as selling when it falls to $0.18, so as not to let the loss expand. Don't stare at the price every day, the more you look, the more panicked you become. Dogecoin fluctuates greatly in the short term, but if you are optimistic about the long-term, just put it there, what should you do - investment is not a "staking competition", and a stable mentality is the most important. Ready to enter the market: Don't go all, diversify your investment, control risk, don't throw all your money into Dogecoin, even if you think it can rise. You can use some of the money to buy, such as 10%-20% of the total funds, and the rest to buy mainstream coins such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. Don't increase leverage, leverage is a "double-edged sword", fast when you earn, faster when you lose. Ordinary investors honestly buy spot, better than anything else - make money a little slower, but at least not lose money. Finally, to be honest, whether Dogecoin can reach $1 before the beginning of October, no one can pack a ticket. The market is like the weather, which changes when it is said. But one thing is certain: if retail investors want not to be "cut", they must improve their cognition and not be swayed by emotions; The entry of institutions is not "sending money", people are counting the opportunity. Instead of struggling with "can you get $1", it is better to think about "how much risk you can bear". Investment is not a gamble, a little more stable, in order to go far.