At 2:00 AM and 2:30 AM tomorrow, the Fed will announce results + Powell will speak. Below, let's have GPT provide a few possibilities:
1. Cut interest rates by 0.25%, comments are dovish (~67%):
BTC and ETH rose by 3-8%, while altcoins could rise by over 10%. Loose policy boosts risk assets, liquidity expectations strengthen, similar to the rebound during the 2024 rate cut cycle.
2. Decrease by 0.25%, comments are neutrally hawkish (~19%):
BTC and ETH are flat or down 2-5%, while altcoins are more volatile. The positive effect of interest rate cuts is offset by a cautious tone, leading to increased investor hesitation.
3. Decrease by 0.25%, remarks are obviously hawkish (~10%):
BTC and ETH fell by 5-10%, while altcoins saw even larger declines of 10-20%. Hawkish signals triggered risk aversion, similar to the sell-off during the rate hikes in 2022.
4. Decrease by 0.5%, the speech is neutrally dovish (~4%):
BTC and ETH surged by 8-15%, while altcoins may soar by over 20%. Unexpected easing has stimulated a "risk-on" market, restarting a short-term bull market.
5. Unchanged, dovish remarks (<1%):
BTC and ETH fell by 3-8%, while altcoins experienced larger declines. Disappointment over unchanged interest rates dominated the sentiment, but dovish remarks limited the decline.
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At 2:00 AM and 2:30 AM tomorrow, the Fed will announce results + Powell will speak. Below, let's have GPT provide a few possibilities:
1. Cut interest rates by 0.25%, comments are dovish (~67%):
BTC and ETH rose by 3-8%, while altcoins could rise by over 10%. Loose policy boosts risk assets, liquidity expectations strengthen, similar to the rebound during the 2024 rate cut cycle.
2. Decrease by 0.25%, comments are neutrally hawkish (~19%):
BTC and ETH are flat or down 2-5%, while altcoins are more volatile. The positive effect of interest rate cuts is offset by a cautious tone, leading to increased investor hesitation.
3. Decrease by 0.25%, remarks are obviously hawkish (~10%):
BTC and ETH fell by 5-10%, while altcoins saw even larger declines of 10-20%. Hawkish signals triggered risk aversion, similar to the sell-off during the rate hikes in 2022.
4. Decrease by 0.5%, the speech is neutrally dovish (~4%):
BTC and ETH surged by 8-15%, while altcoins may soar by over 20%. Unexpected easing has stimulated a "risk-on" market, restarting a short-term bull market.
5. Unchanged, dovish remarks (<1%):
BTC and ETH fell by 3-8%, while altcoins experienced larger declines. Disappointment over unchanged interest rates dominated the sentiment, but dovish remarks limited the decline.
Are you ready?