From the current market trend, Bitcoin (BTC) seems to be in a rebound phase, but the long-term trend may still point downward. Although the market generally expects a rise in October, this consensus is quite similar to the expectation of a fall in September. However, the reality often differs from expectations.

Looking back at the market in September, the first 20 days showed an upward trend, mainly driven by expectations of interest rate cuts, presenting an overall pattern of fluctuating upward. However, since the end of the month, the market has entered a falling channel, and this trend is still ongoing.

It is worth noting that there is often a discrepancy between market expectations and actual movements. Although there is currently a short-term rebound, this does not mean that the downward trend has ended. Investors need to remain vigilant and closely monitor various influencing factors, including the macroeconomic environment, changes in regulatory policies, and the movements of institutional investors.

In such a complex and volatile market environment, it is especially important to remain rational and objective. Do not blindly follow market sentiment, but rather make investment decisions based on in-depth analysis and personal risk tolerance. At the same time, be wary of the influence of excessive optimism or pessimism on judgment, and maintain the ability to adjust strategies flexibly.