The prediction market is in a period of vigorous development, with the latest data showing that industry activity is reaching unprecedented heights. The volume of leading platforms has increased significantly, highlighting the growing importance and influence of this sector.

Polymarket achieved a volume of $1.43 billion in September, while Kalshi surpassed the $3 billion mark. Notably, the weekly volume climbed to $1.45 billion, nearly reaching peak levels of the election cycle. At the same time, the independent volume also hit a historic high, which may reflect a significant increase in small-bet behavior.

In the context of increasingly fierce competition in the industry, market dynamics are also constantly changing. Reports indicate that the Intercontinental Exchange has injected $2 billion into Polymarket, a move that may be related to Kalshi's aggressive social media strategy. These developments suggest that large financial institutions are recognizing the potential and strategic value of prediction markets.

Industry experts point out that oracle technology and artificial intelligence play an increasingly important role in prediction markets. With the advancement of these technologies, prediction markets are expected to develop into a key information infrastructure. The co-founder of RedStone even predicts that the industry is about to迎来 its "golden age".

The rapid development of prediction markets is reflected not only in the increase in volume but also in their unique value in information aggregation and risk management. With technological innovations and institutional improvements, prediction markets are expected to provide more accurate and reliable references for decision-making, risk assessment, and market forecasting.

However, with the rapid development of the industry, regulatory challenges and ethical issues have also emerged. Finding a balance between promoting innovation and protecting the interests of participants will be an important issue that the industry needs to address in the future.

Overall, the prediction market is at a critical stage of development. With the continuous growth of volume, ongoing technological advancements, and the influx of institutional investment, this field is expected to achieve greater breakthroughs and influence in the coming years.