Track real-time hotspots in the crypto world and seize the best trading opportunities. Today is Thursday, October 16, 2025. I am Wang Yibo! Good morning, coin friends☀hardcore fan daily attendance👍Like and make big money🍗🍗🌹🌹,

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U.S. stocks closed mixed on Wednesday, with the Dow slightly down, the S&P 500 up 0.4%, and the Nasdaq up 0.66%. According to CME's "FedWatch": the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in October is 2.7%, while the probability of a 25 basis points rate cut is 97.3%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in December is 0.1%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis points rate cut is 5.7%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis points rate cut is 94.2%. The crypto market shows weakness again, with Bitcoin struggling around the 11W mark, and Ethereum breaking the 4000 level, dropping to a low of 3920. The market has stagnated for the third week, increasing current uncertainty. Pay attention to Yibo for the latest updates, and also track the Fed's subsequent actions to avoid blindly chasing high crypto assets and control positions to hedge risks, in order to seize opportunities and reduce risks.

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Bitcoin has fallen from a high of 113578 to a low of 111660, rebounding to 113466 in the afternoon before facing pressure again. Late at night, it dipped to 110086 and then rebounded to around 111500 for consolidation. Bitcoin is currently in a tug-of-war between bulls and bears; however, the bears have tested the 11 level below multiple times without achieving a substantial breakthrough, consistently stopping at this critical point. The bulls' recovery strength is also relatively weak, and the space lost in the previous decline has not been fully recaptured. In this wide-ranging oscillation and tug-of-war, the overall structure still appears to be in an upward trend according to the daily chart. Although there have been short-term pullbacks, the continuity is insufficient, and the upward trend structure remains unaffected, with the main structure still leaning towards bullish formation. Currently, on the 4-hour chart, a back-and-forth movement is forming at a high level, with neither bulls nor bears able to maintain momentum. After the dip in the early hours, a rebound has emerged, and there is still a degree of continuity, so in the short term, attention can be paid to the rebound situation at 111500!

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Ethereum rose from the morning low of 4058 to a high of 4215 and then started a deep correction, reaching a low of 3924 in the evening before consolidating. Currently, it shows a clear divergence from the overall market, with bullish strength weakening during the rebound, failing to even touch the crucial midline of the Bollinger Bands before quickly retreating; the repeated pressure from the midline of the Bollinger Bands on the price, leading to a decline, further confirms the dense selling pressure above. The small bullish line at the current low is merely a slight correction within the downtrend, and attention should be paid to the breakout situation at the resistance level of 4020 above, as stabilizing there may allow the rebound to continue!