Looking for a good entry point for Bitcoin? Crypto research firm reveals the best time to buy BTC

Bitcoin traders often wonder what the optimal time to enter might be. According to K33 Research, a prominent cryptocurrency analysis firm, that moment could come sooner than expected. The firm is drawing attention to September, which is usually a weak month for Bitcoin, as a strategic buy out zone where disciplined accumulation could pay off.

K33 Research and the strategic buy out zone

Since 2011, September has been the only month in which Bitcoin has consistently recorded negative returns. According to data from CryptoRank, September has the highest average losses for Bitcoin, around 4.96 percent negative. Traders often refer to this seasonal drop as the “September curse.”

Although this pattern has been challenged in recent years, the month remains difficult for cryptocurrency markets, largely due to risk aversion sentiment in global stocks, as investors rebalance their portfolios ahead of the final quarter. This year, global economic slowdowns and uncertainty around trade tariffs and interest rate cuts in the United States have added pressure to the market, increasing the likelihood of a correction.

According to a report by K33 Research, this is not a sign of sustained weakness, but rather the kind of environment that creates opportunities. In particular, K33's analysis frames any drop in the range of $94,000 to $101,000 as a tactical sweet spot for investors. Instead of waiting for new highs, the firm advises viewing September's volatility as a window for strategic entry.

The next entry of Bitcoin

At the time of writing this article, Bitcoin is hovering around the price level of $112,000, although the volatility in recent days saw it briefly fall below $110,000 to reach $109,399. The volatility was even more pronounced on September 1, when Bitcoin fell below $110,000 to touch $107,400 twice.

If Bitcoin were to fall to $101,000, it would translate to a 10% decrease from the current price level. This drop would weaken bullish sentiment. A deeper drop to $94,000 would be even more significant, translating to a 16% drop and causing Bitcoin to lose its psychological support at the six-figure threshold of $100,000, which would undoubtedly wreak havoc on any remaining bullish sentiment.

However, according to analysts from K33 Research, a drop to this zone between $101,000 and $94,000 would be the best time for bullish traders to load up on Bitcoin before the next upward move. The firm's model suggests that if Bitcoin retraces to this band, that zone could well represent the optimal risk-reward crossroads for long-term investors.

The medium-term momentum of Bitcoin is starting to turn bearish, but it has managed to stay above $110,000. Despite this, bullish analysts continue to target new all-time highs before the end of 2025. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $112,550, up 1.5% in the last 24 hours.

Legal notice: For informational purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.