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- 🎄 Gate Square · Christmas Warmth Creation Event
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📅 Event Period: Nov 20 04:00 – Nov 27 16:00 UTC
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3. Participants must post for a - 🚀 Gate Square Event: #GateNewbieVillageEpisode7
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#加密货币市场动态 presents a counterintuitive viewpoint: a Fed rate cut in December may not signal a buy the dip, but rather the prelude to a big dump.
In recent years, why has the US stock market still been able to rise in a high interest rate environment? The secret lies in the transfer of leverage—Wall Street injected money into the market through arbitrage trading, bypassing the Fed's tightening. But now the rules of the game have changed.
The first stage of interest rate cuts is the most dangerous: the concentrated liquidation of carry positions withdraws far more liquidity than what is released by the rate cut. This rate cut in December? Simply put, it's a death knell that accelerates the liquidation pace.
What are we really waiting for? Waiting for the wave of liquidations to end, waiting for the Fed to be forced to take emergency measures to support the market, only then will the interest rate cuts truly pour money into the economy.
So my conclusion is simple: don't rush this year, next year is really the time to buy the dip. The market hasn't fallen enough yet.