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#Gate广场圣诞送温暖 Dogecoin's first US spot ETF has officially launched, marking a significant milestone in the mainstream acceptance of meme coins. However, despite Dogecoin's listing on the New York Stock Exchange under Grayscale's recently converted GDOG fund, market response has remained notably subdued. Price and derivatives trading activity have not shown the speculative enthusiasm seen during previous catalyst events.
Dogecoin price rebounded by 5%, but remains in a downtrend, with prices well below levels seen earlier this month.
This rebound occurred after several weeks of sharp corrections, which pushed Dogecoin down to a local low near $0.135.
Since reaching a high near $0.26 in October, Dogecoin (DOGE) has continued to trend downward, with lower highs and lows, and buyers have yet to break through any major resistance levels. Today’s ETF-driven uptick failed to break the short-term downtrend—indicating that ETF-driven demand may take time to materialize.
Lack of confidence in the derivatives market.
Unlike Bitcoin and Ethereum, which saw strong speculative activity during their respective ETF launches, Dogecoin’s debut coincided with low confidence in the derivatives market. CoinGlass data shows Dogecoin futures open interest remains near multi-month lows, hovering between $1.3 billion and $1.5 billion—a stark contrast to the high leverage typically seen with major catalysts. The open interest chart shows no significant spike today, indicating traders are not actively betting on the ETF listing. This reflects market caution, as participants wait for real inflows before taking directional positions.
This year, Dogecoin has experienced several periods of high open interest and volatility, especially in July and September. However, November’s decline kept the derivatives market relatively stable.
Has the market already priced in the ETF?
The muted market reaction suggests traders may have already priced in the ETF launch. Without new catalysts or confirmation of institutional inflows, the market does not seem eager to establish new positions. Even so, the launch is significant. With GDOG, Dogecoin joins Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana as one of the few crypto assets with a US-listed spot ETF.
In addition, Bitwise plans to launch its own Dogecoin ETF, bringing more funds to this network meme coin. The ETF provides infrastructure for institutional investors, but actual demand will determine whether DOGE can return to higher price levels or continue trading in the $0.13 to $0.16 range.