#DecemberRateCutForecast #十二月降息预测

Key economic data: The non-farm payroll report (NFP) and inflation data (CPI/PCE) for December will be the main determining factors for Federal Reserve actions. If the data shows that the labor market is not as weak as expected or inflation rises again, the likelihood of an interest rate cut could quickly reverse, triggering market turbulence.

• Official guidance from the Federal Reserve: In addition to whether there will be a rate cut, the "dot plot" released after the December meeting will reveal officials' projections regarding interest rates in 2026, which will affect market assessments of the long-term easing cycle, its significance is equivalent to a single rate cut.

• Internal factors in the cryptocurrency world: The cryptocurrency market has its own logic. For instance, the launch of the Dogecoin spot ETF brings new variables, but large transaction volumes along with the selling behavior of "whale" addresses pose liquidation risks on high leverage positions, reminding investors to pay attention to structural risks within the cryptocurrency world.