Gold and silver rise against the trend, Bitcoin's correction exposes a new market pattern

The recent cryptocurrency market has shown a rare divergence. Bitcoin, which reached a high of $126,000 in October last year, has retraced to around $92,000, a decline of nearly 27%. In stark contrast, gold, silver, and the US stock market have been steadily climbing. This “ice and fire” phenomenon behind the market trend reveals deep changes in capital allocation logic.

Market analysts point out that this is not simply risk aversion but reflects major global institutions rebalancing their asset allocation strategies. Against the backdrop of changing global monetary policy patterns, traditional safe-haven assets are regaining attention, especially for investors seeking to diversify their financial assets.

Central Bank Reserve Structure Adjustment Drives Asset Rebalancing

According to GlobalData analyst Ramnivas Mandada, the fundamental driver of this market shift stems from central bank decision-making. Major central banks worldwide are systematically adjusting their foreign exchange reserve compositions, particularly reducing the proportion of dollar-denominated assets. This shift marks the acceleration of de-dollarization, indicating that the global financial system is undergoing subtle yet profound changes.

In this broader context, gold and silver, as traditional value anchors, are regaining favor among institutional investors. Many investors are reconsidering whether to actively trade gold (such as periodically adjusting gold positions) to cope with uncertain macroeconomic environments.

Precious Metals Outlook Bright, Silver Gains More

Forecasts suggest that gold could see an 8%-15% increase by 2026, while silver’s growth is expected to reach 20%-35%. This disparity reflects a reassessment of silver’s industrial uses and scarcity. In comparison, Bitcoin’s recent performance appears relatively weak, and market sentiment still needs recovery in the short term.

Behind this asset rotation, there is a profound reflection by global economic participants on the future macro environment. The ebb and flow between traditional assets and digital assets not only demonstrate market adaptability but also highlight that, in an era of changing global monetary policies, diversifying investment portfolios has become an even more necessary choice.