2026-01-15 12:53:32

In prediction markets, insider traders often have early access to event outcomes and specifically bet on the correct results they already know. Identifying such players is actually not difficult—they often reveal some telltale signs.

First, look at account performance. These individuals tend to open new accounts with very minimal trading history—usually only 1 to 2 trades. They do not diversify their testing or gradually build positions like regular traders. Instead, they directly invest large sums of money. Large capital inflows combined with very few trades are inherently suspicious.

More importantly, they go to great lengths to conceal their activity footprints. They use various on-chain or off-chain methods to obscure the source of funds and trading intentions. This meticulous disguise sharply contrasts with their aggressive betting behavior.

Understanding these characteristics helps traders better grasp market dynamics and identify abnormal signals.

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SolidityNewbie

· 4h ago

New accounts get wiped out with one deposit? I don't have that courage, so how come so many people dare to do it? The insider trading methods are so obvious, have the detection mechanisms completely failed? By the way, can on-chain tracking really catch these people? It seems like cover-up methods are endless. I just want to know, what is this kind of behavior legally considered? Directly freezing accounts? Large single deposits and withdrawals—what's the difference from gambling...

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ser_we_are_early

· 4h ago

New accounts make a big deposit and then run after one or two transactions? This trick is too obvious; it can be easily traced on the blockchain.

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MEVSandwich

· 4h ago

New account, big bets with a single move? I'm already tired of this routine. Every major event, they have to pull this stunt.

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FarmHopper

· 4h ago

A new account makes a huge transaction, isn't this the standard routine of insider trading? Why is it only being uncovered now? Insiders love to be so brazen. After messing around on-chain and off-chain for a while, they still can't escape the sharp-eyed people. Too amateur. This kind of tactic has long been understood by the market. Want to hide the source of funds? Ha, there's nowhere to hide on the chain. 1-2 transactions directly spend a large amount of money. Honestly, this is like leaving fingerprints at the crime scene. Who can't see it? The water in the prediction market is indeed deep, but making such basic mistakes shows that insider traders are just so-so. To identify these people, just look at account age and trading frequency. It's obvious and easy to break through their defenses.

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LiquidityWitch

· 4h ago

Opening a new account and making a couple of big trades? Isn't that just talking about my friend haha --- Insider trading techniques have been common for a long time. With such high transparency on the chain, still trying to play invisibility cloak? --- Wait, are you teaching us how to identify whales or how to do insider trading? --- A large all-in trade with a new account, isn't that just reporting yourself? --- There are no secrets on the chain. If you want to hide your tracks, it's better to just turn around. --- So now predicting the market is just about who moves faster and has more money, right? --- This thing seems to be preventable, but in reality, on-chain data can be exposed just by comparing it.

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