#数字资产市场动态 January 15 Ethereum Technical Analysis and Trading Strategy

Currently, Ethereum maintains a high-level oscillation pattern on the 4-hour chart, with the bulls in control. The price repeatedly tests the range between 3280-3400, with key resistance concentrated at 3367-3400. Support is around 3240-3260. The current price is approximately at 3360, and intraday fluctuations are expected between 3280-3402. Recently, a bullish engulfing line appeared in the last 4 hours, with volume remaining relatively active. It is worth noting that short-term trading volume is concentrated around the breakout zone of 3360-3380. If the price pushes above 3400 but volume cannot keep up, it is likely to be pulled back.

From the candlestick pattern, Ethereum's recent performance is a typical oscillating upward trend—each low point is higher, and high points are gradually breaking through. The large bullish candle on January 13 showed significant volume, but the volume of the following two days' candles decreased, indicating a weakening of the bullish momentum.

Looking at technical indicators, on the 4-hour cycle, MACD's DIF and DEA are both above zero, and the MACD histogram remains positive, but the bars are shortening, indicating weakening bullish momentum. RSI(14) is around 64, approaching the overbought zone but not fully entering strong territory yet, so watch for potential pullback. Regarding EMA, the price is currently above EMA7, EMA30, and EMA120. After the EMA7 and EMA30 formed a golden cross, they continue to diverge, providing good short-term support.

Support levels are as follows: first support at 3240-3260 (previous dense trading zone + EMA15), second support at 3180-3200 (EMA20 + previous consolidation platform). Resistance levels: first at 3367-3380 (24-hour high + previous high), second at 3400 (psychological level, multiple attempts to break above have failed).

Trading strategy suggestions:

Consider entering long positions in the 3330-3350 range, targeting 3380-3420, with further targets at 3450. This strategy is time-sensitive; actual execution should be flexible based on real-time market conditions. Pay close attention to Bitcoin's correlation performance.

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