2026-01-15 13:22:59

Looking at the recent market data, today's qualifying amount is approximately 730 million, which is not a significant increase compared to yesterday, only about 22%.

A careful comparison of the numbers reveals the clues—yesterday increased by 52,000 from 600 million, and today, a reasonable pace would be an increase of about 700,000 to 800,000 from the current 730 million. Based on this pattern, it is estimated that tomorrow's qualifying amount may be in the range of 1.5 to 1.6 million.

Interestingly, even as the fourfold amplification effect gradually diminishes in the later stages, there are still about ten days left in the window period from a time cycle perspective. Based on the current growth momentum, it is expected that the final data will gradually climb upward and eventually stabilize around the level of 2 million.

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

5 Likes

Reward
5
3
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

DecentralizedElder

· 3h ago

22% increase still feels like not enough? I think the base is right there --- The data is so heavy, but it seems the momentum might be losing steam later on --- Staying at 2 million? That looks a bit uncertain, the window period is so short --- Don’t just look at the percentage increase, check the actual growth amount to see that the pace is actually slowing down --- This 730 million market cap, trying to push it higher is really not easy --- Once the 4x leverage effect recedes, the story that follows will have to be told more smoothly

View OriginalReply0

ContractExplorer

· 3h ago

Damn, the data growth rate is pretty fierce, feels like it can keep soaring I understand this logic, there's still hope Why does it feel a bit conservative? Is 2 million really the ceiling? A 22% increase isn't small, it all depends on how it moves next The ten-day window period is a bit tight, should we go for it or not

View OriginalReply0

Layer3Dreamer

· 3h ago

theoretically speaking, if we map this growth trajectory onto a recursive state verification model... the diminishing returns from that 4x multiplier are basically your cross-rollup liquidity drying up over time, ngl. gives me major vitalik-on-scalability-trilemma vibes honestly

Reply0