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US stocks just opened, and the market has already determined the winner and loser. Looking at price alone can be very misleading; only by combining on-chain data can we see the true picture.
**Bitcoin: The 97,000 Debate Between Reality and Illusion**
The current price is around 97,110, with a fluctuation range of 96,900 to 97,300. Looks like it’s about to break through? Don’t rush. Just after 21:00, the premium indicator of a major exchange started turning negative. To put it simply, US institutions are not buying aggressively; instead, retail investors are selling above 97,000. On the chart, a 15-minute K-line has already shown a bearish divergence, which is a warning sign. In the short term, chasing the rally carries high risk. If the price doesn’t hold above 97,500 before 22:30, beware of profit-taking and a potential sell-off during US stock trading hours. The real entry point should be around 95,500.
**Ethereum: Following the Trend, No Real Heat**
The price is 3,366. Over the past hour, on-chain Gas fees have remained stable, indicating no large funds are deploying or repositioning within the ecosystem. Ethereum is currently just passively following Bitcoin’s lead, moving at a "following the crowd" pace.