2026-01-15 14:25:48

BTC is currently trading at $96,701 USD, with a 24-hour increase of 1.72%.

From on-chain data, the whale activity this time is quite aggressive—net addition of over 32K BTC, with bullish dominance reaching 48.4%. This indicates that large investors are continuously buying, and institutions (like MicroStrategy) are steadily increasing their positions. Meanwhile, the enthusiasm for ETF entries remains high, with an inflow of $7.53 billion USD, showing that traditional funds still have strong confidence in BTC.

In the short term, there are three possible directions.

**Optimistic Scenario**: If it can break through the 97,500 USD resistance at the 50-week EMA, it could head straight for 98,000-100,000 USD, with a chance to reach 102,000-103,000 USD. In this case, institutional demand will be the main driver, and there is indeed room for short-term upward pressure.

**Moderate Scenario**: Fluctuating within the 95,000-97,000 USD range, with community sentiment currently at 81% bullish, indicating support. However, macroeconomic sudden changes could catch you off guard.

**Downside Risk**: If it falls below 95,000 USD, support levels will weaken significantly, possibly retesting the low of 94,000 USD.

Overall, the probability of an upward move is about 60-70% (based on predictive market data), but tonight's volatility could be quite high. It is recommended to closely monitor ETF capital flows and whale wallet movements, as these two factors are often leading indicators of market trends.

BTC-1.3%

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gas_fee_therapy

· 4h ago

Whales are frantically accumulating again, this rhythm feels off Is breaking 100,000 really that easy? If macro factors come into play, we'll get hit again The ETF inflow is so strong, do institutions still believe in BTC? That's a bit surprising The 48.4% long position ratio sounds impressive, but it's all just fake lines before the breakdown If there's big volatility today, it's probably a good time for a harvest again Whale wallet movements are the real signals, just watch that and ignore the analysts' hype Almost forgot, if the key level of 95,000 breaks, it's time to run 100K is still far away, don’t get dizzy from the temporary rise MicroStrategy's recent moves are a bit aggressive, looks like they really went all in With so many longs, why does it still feel like there's no confidence? Always worried about a crash

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StablecoinEnjoyer

· 4h ago

The whales are so fierce, dropping 32K coins directly. What could this be hinting at? But on the other hand, the most feared thing in such times is a sudden change in the macro environment, and then everything becomes pointless. 81% bullish sounds great, but I always feel it's a bit over the top. Historically, such extreme sentiment often doesn't lead to good results. Wait, could this wave be the final surge before institutions start accumulating at the bottom?

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SerNgmi

· 4h ago

Whales are quietly eating up chips again. This pace is a bit fast. Wait, 32K BTC tokens, is that real? Are institutions aiming straight for 100,000? If the macro suddenly changes, my blood pressure will skyrocket. Tonight, I’ll be glued to the K-line, sleep is already abandoned.

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ChainMaskedRider

· 4h ago

Whales are quietly accumulating again, this pace is a bit intense. 98K is right in front of us, whether it breaks or not depends entirely on the institutions' mood. With such high ETF enthusiasm, new retail investors are about to jump in and take over. Stay alert, the night fluctuations are big—don't get crushed to the bottom and lose everything.

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ForkTongue

· 4h ago

Whales are accumulating again, and this time it's really intense—32K BTC, probably all eyeing 100K. Wait, what if the macro environment suddenly shifts? Can we hold onto 100K this time? ETF inflows are at 7.53B, indicating strong confidence from big players, but this short-term volatility might be a bit fierce.

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