#比特币2026年行情展望 $XRPDeepAnalysis: Why Is This Former Cross-Border Payment Star Facing Mid-Term Adjustment Pressure?

The positive impact from the 2025 lawsuit indeed pushed XRP higher, once breaking through $3. But now that 2026 has arrived, market sentiment has long cooled from the excitement of legal victory. The real question is: what's next?

**How Long Can the Regulatory Narrative Support?**

The SEC lawsuit withdrawal is essentially a catalyst for sentiment, not a fundamental improvement. Now that the case is settled, the market is beginning to focus on actual trading data—which is precisely XRP's pain point. The diversion effects of stablecoins and new payment chains are gradually emerging, eroding activity. Without a new growth narrative, such assets often enter a slow decline.

**Institutional Entry = Risk Release?**

The listing of XRP ETF seems positive, but history gives us a clear reference—Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs often signal a phase top after their launch. Why? Because institutional liquidity ultimately provides the best exit channels for early large holders (including Ripple's own massive holdings). Selling pressure at high levels may be brewing.

**What Is the Technical Perspective Saying?**

On the weekly chart, XRP has repeatedly attempted to break through $3.5 but failed, showing clear signs of stagnation at high levels. Once it falls below the psychological threshold of $2, technical support is almost nonexistent. In this time window, the risk-reward ratio is not ideal.

Overall, when the market shifts from stories to data, assets whose narratives fade often face consolidation periods.