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The technology sector surged rapidly, but the truth is far more complex than it appears on the surface.
Today’s morning sell-off caused many to regret their decisions. I had already warned at noon — this wave of movement will first suppress and then rebound, and the real opportunity lies in the pullback. As a result, around 1:30 PM, institutional funds began to clearly intervene in the semiconductor sector, quickly pushing up the index. It sounds good, but a closer look reveals that the forces selling index ETFs and dumping securities have been continuously suppressing the rally. Without these pressures, the market would have already surged earlier in the afternoon.
What is the key information? When the index touches below 4100 points, buy orders immediately come in to support. What does this indicate? The market is consciously maintaining this support level. Someone has been suppressing the market for two or three days, but the logic is clear — as we move into next week, this kind of downward pressure may no longer be necessary.
As long as the market does not break below today’s lowest point by next Monday, the probability of a rebound is quite high. From a capital perspective, genuine institutional buyers are purchasing, while the panic is mainly among retail investors and small traders who borrow money to speculate. At such times, a pullback is an opportunity.
Overall: don’t fear a decline, buy on dips. The pattern of first suppressing and then rebounding is likely to continue, and the chance of closing in the green next Monday is indeed quite high.