Recently, there has been an interesting phenomenon in the market: the US stock market and Bitcoin always move inversely. A few days ago, when BTC was rising, the US stocks were falling; then they switched directions again. Behind what seems like chaotic movements, in fact, are two markets driven by completely different factors.



On the US stock side, it's easier to understand—positive earnings reports from banks during the earnings season, the reduction of credit card interest rates providing substantial stimulus to the financial sector, and no bad news for the AI sector itself, mainly driven by inter-sector sentiment linkage.

The logic behind Bitcoin's pullback is a bit more complex. The delay of the CLARITY Act was the main driver of this adjustment. You see, after a major platform CEO withdrew support, the Senate started postponing the review, which directly increased policy uncertainty. Although industry leaders issued statements early in the morning, the price only truly reacted when the US stock market opened. This time difference is definitely not a coincidence—it’s very likely that institutions took the opportunity to sell during this window.

From on-chain data, BTC trading volume has clearly not maintained the high levels seen before in the past two days, which is a signal worth noting. Will buying power sharply decline? That remains to be seen. But for now, the US stock market has already started to rebound. If everyone can stay patient, the upcoming market should not be too bad.

On the chip side, the structure remains relatively stable. Although short-term chip holdings have increased somewhat, forming a support level requires more time to confirm. Early trapped positions still do not react strongly to price fluctuations, which is consistent with historical trends.
BTC-1.12%
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NftRegretMachinevip
· 5h ago
Institutional window period selling this trick, the same play every time --- Low trading volume is the real trouble, don’t just look at the CEO’s statements --- Reversal movement? Basically, no one knows what’s next --- Confirmation of support levels takes time? Then it just means more volatility --- Stay calm? Haha, easy to say, hard to do, brother --- I’ve looked at the on-chain data signals for a long time, but I still can’t see through them --- The US stock market rebounds, can BTC follow? I don’t think it’s that simple --- Under policy uncertainty, everything feels like gambling
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New_Ser_Ngmivip
· 5h ago
The idea that institutions are selling off during the window period is a bit far-fetched; it seems that policy expectations have a greater influence.
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CryptoHistoryClassvip
· 5h ago
ah here we go again, institutions playing their usual game during market open. time the delay perfectly, dump while retail's still sleeping. rinse & repeat cycle we've seen since 2017 lol
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