2026-01-16 10:10:44

#比特币2026年行情展望【Market Observation on January 16, 2026】

Recently, Bitcoin's recent market movement is worth discussing. In the short term, it has already broken through 97,000, but 94,000 remains a key support level. Continuing to go long at this stage carries significant risk; it is recommended to keep positions light or simply wait and watch.

Let me repeat a logic—before the four-year cycle truly fails, we should still maintain respect for it. This is not superstition; it is a judgment based on historical data. Regarding spot allocation, maintaining over 90% in BTC is relatively stable.

A side note: True experts never argue about right or wrong. Arguing on the first floor and viewing the panorama from the twentieth floor are two completely different dimensions. Those who treat noise as signals will never make big money, while those who see signals as trends have already exited. Not arguing is an active way to step out of low-dimensional games and protect more valuable goals.

Regarding the subsequent trend—@BTC@ is gaining bullish momentum at this level, but in the long run, every high point is an opportunity to short. Not now, but there will be. The altcoin index is only 39, so there is no reason to intervene; stay calm and wait.

My approach is this: the 80,000 USDT support will definitely be tested. Only if this test is successful can the third wave of the market open up space to surge toward 120,000 USDT. Conversely, if it falls below 80,000 into the 70,000, 60,000, or 50,000 range, altcoins will experience a bloodbath. Currently, I have about 30% of my position in Lit at around 2.1 USDT.

So what is the core? Before the major cycle clearly breaks, trust the cycle first and prioritize risk management. Only then can you laugh last.

*The above is just a personal opinion, not investment advice.*

BTC-0.84%

LIT-0.43%

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SchroedingerAirdrop

· 8h ago

The 94,000 level is indeed critical, but with the current bullish momentum, I think we need to wait and see. I believe what he said about the 4-year cycle... the historical data is right here. Will the 80,000 USDT test really happen? It feels a bit like mysticism, haha. This copycat index is only at 39, I’m not really interested. Let’s wait and see. That guy’s talk about high-dimensional and low-dimensional concepts is quite insightful; arguing every day definitely won’t make any money.

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DeadTrades_Walking

· 8h ago

94,000 can't break through, maybe a significant pullback is still needed. Making money isn't that easy. --- This logic sounds quite comfortable, but actual operation is a different story. It still depends on the market situation. --- What cycle are you talking about? In the end, isn't it just the market slapping you in the face? Historical data can't save you either. --- Is the 80,000 support really that solid? I doubt it. Don't end up in another round of bloodshed. --- The "mountain-shape index" at 39 just stays still? My contrarian thinking is already buying low here. --- Saying "view from the 20th floor" sounds pretty pretentious. But in the end, you still need to make money, right? --- Lit 2.1 with 30% position. If it drops, it will be quite awkward. That's a full gamble. --- Trust the cycle to the point of bankruptcy. I've seen too many people like that. --- The master who doesn't argue about right or wrong is probably just afraid of losing, to put it nicely. --- 12,000 US dollars? First, protect 97,000, then boast about this.

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GasDevourer