#美国核心物价涨幅不及市场预估 $BTC Market Analysis for Today:

Currently, Bitcoin is in a typical consolidation deadlock, repeatedly tugging at the neckline at 95755 throughout the day without breaking through. Frankly, the current trend looks a bit shaky, but this feeling is often an illusion—once a strong bullish candle with high volume appears, it might directly break the current consolidation pattern.

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has been moving within a flag pattern. As long as it breaks above the neckline at 95755 and completes the breakout of the entire flag pattern, there’s a chance to target the previous high at 97067. Conversely, if the price pulls back and falls below the support at 94458 below the flag, it’s dangerous—it could trigger a downward waterfall that’s hard to stop. Overall, as long as it remains below 95755 and cannot break through, it’s not a good sign.

In terms of trading, there are no good entry opportunities right now. It’s better to wait for the US stock market to open and observe the reaction. If, after three hours of trading post-open, the US stocks still fail to break through 95755, those holding long positions should consider closing them to prevent profits from eroding.

Specific strategy: If Bitcoin breaks through 95779 with volume, consider entering long positions on the right side, targeting the range of 97030-97900; if it rebounds near 97654, consider shorting, but pay attention to volume changes and set stop-losses accordingly. Why not chase short positions directly on the right side? Because the support at 94458 below is strong, and the profit margin for shorting is too small—waiting for a better rebound opportunity is wiser.

The 4-hour chart also shows some potential. The previous consolidation range between 94492 and 91585 was broken, and now it’s just testing the upper boundary of the range after a pullback. This suggests a likely second test of the upper boundary. If it can hold this level, the trend may continue sideways upward; if it fails, it will return inside the range to continue oscillating between 94492 and 91585.

Another key point is the support from the 20-day EMA (currently at 95065). The reason why the price hasn’t continued to fall is because of this moving average. Once it breaks below, the next target is to test the 50-day EMA at 93470, which is also the midline of the range—this is a risk point. If it holds, expect continued oscillation; if it breaks, be prepared for a washout.