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Sentient presents a clear asymmetric opportunity in the prediction market. The project has nearly $100 million in funding, a valuation of $1.8 billion, but the probability of an FDV of $800M is only 66%, and the chance to break $1 billion is even lower at 38%—this reflects a conservative market outlook on its development prospects.
The same logic applies to Zama and Infenix. Both projects have funding rounds in the tens of millions to $100 million range, but the current market forecasts for their FDV are generally underestimated. Such phenomena are common in emerging sectors.
The core of investment lies in market sentiment asymmetry: actively buying when pessimistic, decisively selling when optimistic. The more timely the information, the clearer the decision-making window.