2026-01-16 12:01:13

#比特币2026年行情展望 This week, the crypto market has experienced the most intense bullish sentiment reversal since the "mid-October fluctuation," with the fear index clearly sliding into the greed zone. Market analysis generally believes that the uncertainty of Federal Reserve policies combined with escalating geopolitical tensions is becoming a structural driver for Bitcoin. Although precious metals remain the preferred short-term safe haven, $BTC is increasingly appearing in asset allocation discussions as a "non-traditional reserve asset" — and some external shocks are even reinforcing the market's imagination of its "risk premium."

Numbers speak the clearest: Bitcoin has risen 10.6% from the beginning of the year to now, while the US dollar index has only gained 0.75% in the same period. This divergence is no coincidence, reflecting a re-pricing of the market's long-term view of the dollar's purchasing power. As representatives of the ecosystem, $ETH and $SOL have recently followed the market trend to form their own cycles. In the macro risk environment, the allocation value of crypto assets is being increasingly re-evaluated by institutions.

BTC-1.84%

ETH-1.48%

SOL-1.07%

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AirdropJunkie

· 45m ago

I don't know if I'm overthinking or what, but the 10.6% increase does seem significant, while the dollar remains the same. --- It's "institutions re-evaluating" again. How come I feel like I've been hearing this phrase for over a year? --- Whenever the Fed starts messing around, BTC takes off. I've seen enough of this, but I still have to follow. --- Speaking of which, when will ETH be able to shake things up like SOL? --- Under the guise of risk compensation, they keep cutting into retail investors. This narrative is getting smoother and smoother. --- I remember the turbulence in mid-October. Now, this bullish sentiment reversal feels like a routine. --- Talking about BTC being added to reserve assets sounds sophisticated, but in reality, it's just betting on the dollar's devaluation. --- The greed zone is here. Should I run or keep holding? --- Geopolitical tensions boosting BTC—I buy into this logic, but why does no one think of it when prices are cheap? --- It has only risen 10.6% since the beginning of the year. It feels a bit slow, or maybe my expectations are too high.

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alpha_leaker

· 4h ago

Greed index was about to take off, should have run then. Now I understand? --- The USD has only risen 0.75%, Bitcoin 10.6%, that gap... Institutions are really quietly getting in. --- What’s the outlook for 2026? It’s not even implemented yet. --- Uncertainty in Federal Reserve policies is the biggest certainty. Smart money has already gone all in. --- Risk compensation? Sounds like a gambler’s self-soothing. --- ETH and SOL following the trend is a bit boring. When will there be a new story? --- Non-traditional reserve assets sound impressive, but honestly, it just means the dollar is depreciating. --- Rising geopolitical tensions are actually good for BTC. I love this logic. --- From October’s volatility until now, everything missed has been gold. --- Institutional "reassessment" means retail investors should exit. --- Repricing of the dollar’s purchasing power... Could it be that we’ve been in inflation all along?

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PumpBeforeRug

· 4h ago

10.6% increase honestly isn't enough, the real show hasn't started yet --- Dollar Index only 0.75%? That's why you gotta stock up on coins, friends --- Greed index is rising, I'm a bit panicked... Is this a signal to reduce positions? --- Institutions re-evaluating? Basically, they ignored it before but now they have to follow the trend haha --- Don't hype up the 2026 outlook, first master this week's market movements --- ETH and SOL are following the trend up, but the real breakout depends on whether BTC has the confidence to break through

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TokenVelocity

· 5h ago

Greed index refreshes, and institutions finally can't hold back anymore, rushing to allocate more crypto assets into their portfolios.

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DataChief

· 5h ago

Greedy zones are just greedy zones, anyway institutions are quietly allocating --- Only a 0.75% increase in the dollar? Laugh out loud, this number says it all --- The most intense since October? How come I feel like it's been just oscillating --- The idea of storing assets is becoming more and more common, it seems it's really breaking out of the circle --- $BTC and $SOL are not synchronized in their cycles, this is the variable this year --- Geopolitical tensions rising, and the crypto prices are the ones to watch, it's truly absurd but also real --- The re-pricing of the dollar's purchasing power is indeed worth paying attention to, it's not just a crypto thing --- Precious metals as a safe haven? BTC has long taken that business away, for sure --- What does the re-evaluation by institutions imply? Or is it just the usual?

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NFTArchaeologis

· 5h ago

From the reversal of the greed index, this wave indeed resembles the subtle atmosphere before every paradigm shift in history. The divergence between Bitcoin and the US dollar, in a sense, is an on-chain archaeological exploration of the currency narrative — the status of new reserve assets is no longer a speculation but an actual allocation in institutional wallets.

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MoneyBurnerSociety

· 5h ago

Uh, this time I didn't have bottom-fishing funds go to zero, and I didn't lose money? This doesn't seem right.

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