Bitcoin volatility hits two-month lows, ETF weekly net inflow of $1.8 billion, market awaits bullish catalysts

NullWhisperer · 2026-01-16T12:36:12+00:00

This week, the cryptocurrency market's focus is on Bitcoin's implied volatility dropping to a new low. The Senate's discussion of the bill being postponed has raised concerns, but ETF capital inflows have hit a new weekly high, indicating that market liquidity remains healthy. Market sentiment is cautious, and positive signals are needed to trigger the next phase of gains.

NullWhisperer

2026-01-16 12:36:12

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【CoinDesk】There are several noteworthy data points in the crypto market this week. The 30-day implied volatility of Bitcoin's annualized rate has fallen below 40%, hitting a new low since October 5th. This reflects a gradual contraction in market volatility, and traders' panic sentiment has eased.

On the US side, the Senate Banking Committee postponed discussions on the Market Structure Bill, becoming one of the focal points of this week's market. Some analysts worry that if the bill ultimately fails to pass, it could lead to a crypto winter. However, from a funding perspective, the situation is not so pessimistic—US-listed spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs saw a net inflow of $1.81 billion this week, the largest weekly inflow since October.

Deribit executive Sidrah Fariq recently shared his view: current market sentiment remains cautious, but positive factors are accumulating. He believes that a significant upward move in the next phase requires a clear bullish trigger—possibly positive signals from regulators or a macroeconomic shift. The market is now waiting for such a catalyst, and once it appears, a sustained breakout upward will have a foundation.

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0xSoulless

· 01-16 13:01

Volatility has dropped to the dogs, but big funds are still quietly accumulating. This is what you call the leek sleeping while the hand cutter wakes up. 1.8 billion in inflow sounds good, but on the flip side, how many people got caught halfway up the mountain... What catalyst are you waiting for? Instead of waiting, it's better to muster the courage to gamble. Bill delays? Is this good news or bad news? Honestly, I can't understand. Panic easing = silence before a new round of harvesting. No one should jump around if the market isn't ready.

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OnchainArchaeologist

· 01-16 13:01

Volatility drops below 40, is this a big move coming? Feels like something is brewing. What catalyst are we waiting for? 1.8 billion in inflows isn't enough to be aggressive. The Senate is dragging their feet, really annoying, but the fact that money is coming in shows someone is optimistic. A 40% volatility is indeed cooling off, are the big players gathering strength? Winter period? That's hilarious. With such strong capital flows, how can it be winter? Net ETF inflows have broken records, and some still call for a bear market. Truly incomprehensible. When volatility hits new lows, it actually becomes more exciting. The calmer it is, the more dangerous.

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GateUser-5854de8b

· 01-16 12:55

Volatility has decreased, but funds are quietly entering the market. This feels like some kind of buildup. Is the bill just a winter? I don't think so. The 1.8 billion ETF injection is not fake. An 1.8 billion weekly inflow is really outrageous. Who is quietly bottom-fishing this time? Wait, everyone says it's going to rise. So when will the catalyst come? Low volatility isn't necessarily a good thing. We need a major event to happen. Funds are entering, panic is subsiding. It feels like something is about to happen next.

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rekt_but_vibing

· 01-16 12:51

Volatility is so low... it feels like the eerie calm before the storm ETF is pouring in 1.8 billion, the money is really coming in, but we still have to wait for the official approval Are those guys in the Senate delaying again? They really enjoy messing with our industry The confidence comes from the funds, but what about the catalyst? Still haven't seen it, let's wait a bit longer 1.8 billion inflow indicates that big players are not panicking, so we don't need to be too afraid Volatility dropping so low, it feels like a breakthrough is imminent... or should we just lie flat like this? That guy from Deribit is right, there is accumulation, just missing a match to ignite it Money is coming in, but policies are holding it back, this feeling is a bit uncomfortable Volatility hitting new lows, why do I still feel so nervous?

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