2026-01-18 04:32:17

Recently, I've seen people say that Ethereum is the next Solana, but most of them either don't understand the current situation or are deliberately stirring the pot.

Yes, after the Fusaka upgrade and the BPO1/2 hard fork, the block capacity of Ethereum L1 has indeed increased quite a bit. But the key issue is— the theoretical TPS still far from satisfying the appetite of high-frequency trading. This is a ceiling that's hard to bypass.

Once on-chain activity continues to accumulate and block utilization approaches or even reaches 100%, congestion will occur. At that point, users will have no choice but to compete with each other to raise gas prices, returning to the old routine. The EIP-1559 mechanism actually has limited effect here—it changes the fee burning mechanism but cannot address the fundamental network capacity bottleneck.

In the short term, it seems comfortable, but long-term problems can only be truly solved through layer 2 solutions, which is the industry consensus.

ETH-6.42%

SOL-5.82%

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FancyResearchLab

· 01-20 12:32

In theory, Fusaka indeed increases capacity, but this is just another useless innovation; gas fees will still skyrocket. --- Luban No.7 is under construction again, and the L1 capacity issue will eventually need L2 to fill it. --- To put it simply, when congestion occurs, it's still a matter of bidding against each other. Just changing an EIP-1559 won't solve the ceiling? A small experiment will show it's impossible. --- The industry all knows this well: in the short term, small repairs and patches are all that can be done; in the long term, only layered solutions can be relied upon—there's no other way. --- TPS can't satisfy the appetite of high-frequency trading; this ceiling is hard to bypass, and a crash is inevitable. --- Once again, locking itself into this capacity bottleneck, it will eventually need Layer 2 to rescue the situation.

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tx_or_didn't_happen

· 01-20 10:31

Basically, it's just self-deception. The L1 ceiling is right there. We all have to rely on L2 to save us, or we'll be stuck in a deadlock sooner or later. People hyping Fusion upgrade probably haven't experienced the gas wars. Ethereum is still the same Ethereum, hasn't changed. The old trick of short-term pump and long-term leek-cutting.

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LiquidatorFlash

· 01-20 02:16

Once block utilization approaches 100%, liquidation risk should ring the alarm bell. The capacity ceiling cannot be changed; L2 is the real solution. It's the same rhetoric again... Let's see who is still hyping it up during the next high gas fee. If the theoretical TPS can't be met, it can't be met; hardware upgrades are useless. EIP-1559 can't address the fundamental bottleneck, everyone has known that for a long time.

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OnChainArchaeologist

· 01-19 04:48

Here we go again, tired of the argument that ETH=SOL. When gas fees spike, the true nature is revealed, and no one can escape.

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MerkleDreamer

· 01-18 05:02

Basically, it's short-term speculation; the real bottleneck is still that old problem.

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MemeEchoer

· 01-18 05:02

That's correct, the L1 ceiling is right there. Most people claiming Eth=Solana haven't really understood. --- The gas war routine is already tired, do you want to reenact it? --- No matter how much Fusaka optimizes, it can't change the fundamental issues. In the end, we still have to rely on L2 to save the scene. --- Short-term gains look good, but that doesn't mean it can truly withstand the pressure. This logic is too naive. --- Solving capacity issues is the key; everything else is pointless. This is nothing new. --- Don't be fooled by marketing hype; the technical ceiling is right there. --- Another round of infrastructure hype—can't we learn some lessons? --- Layer 2 is the way out, but we've been hearing that for three years. Do you believe it? --- EIP-1559 burning mechanism is a big gimmick; its practical use is actually very limited.

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MerkleTreeHugger

· 01-18 04:59

Ah, well, basically it still depends on L2 to save the day; otherwise, ETH would just be like this.

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NftRegretMachine

· 01-18 04:48

Basically, it's about not being able to change the constitution; L2 is the ultimate solution.

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RebaseVictim

· 01-18 04:47

Honestly, rather than hyping up ETH and chasing Solana, I'm more concerned about when L2 will truly become popular.

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GasFeePhobia

· 01-18 04:41

Basically, it's just self-deception. L1 will always be L1, and no matter how much you optimize, you can't escape this fate. When the gas wars come, everything quickly reverts to the original state. It was long overdue to go all-in on L2. Solana's approach can't be copied; the underlying logic of Ethereum is right there. The real solution still depends on the maturity of the Layer 2 ecosystem; otherwise, it's all just hype.

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