2026-01-18 10:11:00

#美国核心物价涨幅不及市场预估 Prediction platform data shows that investors are relatively cautious about Bitcoin reaching the $100,000 mark in January—support probability is about 43%. This reflects market observations of the Federal Reserve's policy direction, especially in the context of the US core CPI not falling as expected, leading to differing views on liquidity and risk assets. This wave of expectations for $BTC has also driven fluctuations in major coins like $ETH and $SOL. From on-chain data, the distribution of chips held by large investors and exchange outflows are all setting the tone for the upcoming market changes.

BTC-0.13%

ETH0.42%

SOL-1.3%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

8 Likes

Reward
8
4
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

SatoshiLeftOnRead

· 6h ago

43%？That probability is a bit awkward, basically investors are betting on a bad coin. --- CPI hasn't decreased, the Federal Reserve's hand is getting harder to play, and the crypto circle is catching its breath. --- On-chain data is so competitive, major players are probably waiting for a signal. --- Ten thousand dollars? Feels like the FOMO from the past two years is completely gone. --- ETH and SOL are falling in line, it's really just about BTC's mood. --- When liquidity is tight, who dares to chase highs? Everyone's quite smart now. --- The Federal Reserve isn't easing, and risk assets are like this. This cycle feels a bit weak. --- Are big players accumulating chips or clearing out? That's the real question.

View OriginalReply0

SandwichTrader

· 6h ago

There's a 43% chance it's here, but I might as well just guess randomly.

View OriginalReply0

PanicSeller

· 6h ago

43% probability? That's what they call "relatively cautious." I think it's just that everyone lacks confidence collectively. The big players are accumulating chips, and we're still debating whether 100,000 can be broken... That's really impressive. With CPI so strong, how could the Federal Reserve loosen monetary policy? They still want to boost the market through liquidity? Dream on. SOL has been riding the wave and rising these days, but I think the day it gets hammered is coming.

View OriginalReply0

StakeTillRetire

· 6h ago

43% chance? That's even worse than gambling probabilities. I still think I'll wait until the Federal Reserve meeting to decide. --- Core CPI is so stubborn, no wonder big players are on the sidelines. Who dares to go all-in? --- On-chain token distribution is all being watched; just waiting for a trigger. --- $BTC hitting 100,000 still feels possible, but this time it really depends on the Fed's stance. --- ETH and SOL are fluctuating with the hype. Forget it, I'll keep accumulating. --- Are big players fleeing or bottom-fishing? That's the real question. --- The reliability of prediction platforms is hard to say; better to look at on-chain data for honesty. --- When liquidity is tight, this kind of market is most prone to a crash.

View OriginalReply0