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Traders who engage in short-term BTC trading have all experienced this heartbreaking feeling: the wild fluctuations during the day wear you out completely, and only in the evening does the market truly start to move. But by then, you've already been drained and have no energy left. When you finally realize and confirm the trend, the market has already run far ahead.
I used to be stuck in this trap too. Later, through countless reviews and analyses, I gradually developed a set of small tips. It's not really a "prediction technique," but more like a reference tool to help determine whether to follow the trend today.
The key discovery is here: the 5-minute K-line charts from 23:00 to 01:00 each day often predict the overall direction of the trading day ahead. During this period, the 5-minute trend tends to echo the 1-hour K-line trend from 23:00 to 23:00 the next day. It's not foolproof, but when it aligns, the intraday trend becomes much clearer.
How to interpret this specifically? My method is to compare the 5-minute trend from 23:00 to 01:00 with the 1-hour K-line of the following day. Note that you shouldn't focus on a single K-line but rather observe the continuous trend.
When I look at the 5-minute chart, I usually analyze two bars at a time. Not intentionally counting, but feeling the rhythm: are these two bars continuing the previous direction, or are they probing, bouncing back, hesitating? If you observe long enough, you'll develop an intuitive sense of whether the market is trending smoothly or not.
Once you notice that the double-K rhythm at the 5-minute level echoes the trend at the 1-hour level—such as the 1-hour chart clearly showing an upward trend, and the 5-minute pullbacks after 23:00 becoming shallower, with lows gradually rising—the probability that the trend will continue in the same direction that day is quite high.