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$RIVER has recently sparked quite a bit of discussion on trading platforms, but many analysts are focusing on technical analysis, which seems a bit out of place for a volatile asset. The market faces two paths: one is a slow decline after peaking, with the unlocking wave on the 22nd directly breaking through the $10 mark; the other is a rally to trap long positions, blow up the shorts, and then launch a violent sell-off.
From the perspective of main force manipulation, with so many retail traders chasing the trend, the probability of a short squeeze is not high. Instead of spending effort pushing the price up, it’s easier to press it down with the trend. The key now is whether the upcoming week’s movement can give a signal—whether the price can break above a critical level or continue to be pressured. This waiting period will determine the fate of many people.