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Can retail investors in the crypto space achieve a comeback? The answer is actually very simple—yes, but not relying on luck, rather on when you truly "understand the market’s temperament."
After years of navigating the crypto world, you'll find that you don't need to be overly smart; you just need to see a little more clearly each day than the day before. For example, keep an eye on BTC’s rhythm—when it rises, the entire market gets excited; when it drops the ball, all other coins follow suit. Once you grasp BTC’s pulse, half of the market becomes transparent.
In my trading experience over the years, the little secret I’ve been using is to target the quietest trading volume and most bizarre price fluctuations during the early morning hours. During that time, you can snag unbelievable cheap prices on orders or sell at crazy highs. Compared to candlestick patterns and technical indicators, this one-hour reality check is much more effective.
USDT’s movements are also crucial—once it starts skyrocketing, it indicates large funds are moving out; when BTC rapidly surges, market sentiment is soaring towards greed. By keeping an eye on these two signals, you can generally anticipate market turns ahead of others. But don’t forget, the real driver of the crypto rhythm is news. A single Federal Reserve statement can render your carefully crafted charts useless. The smartest strategy on big event days is—don’t aim for big profits, just aim to stay alive.
A pattern I’ve discovered that has saved me many times: 6 to 8 a.m. is the key period for market tone-setting. If the night session drops and the morning session is still falling, a rebound is highly likely; conversely, if the night session rises and the morning continues to surge, the top is probably near.
Another easily overlooked detail: coins with trading volume are always more trustworthy than coins with good stories. When volume dries up, the coin is dead; as long as volume remains, no matter how much it drops, there’s hope.
The most painful realization: those who move recklessly every day and trade frequently rarely make big money. Those who can keep a steady hand and hold their positions are more likely to catch major market moves. Getting liquidated isn’t shameful; what’s shameful is losing your mind afterward. Once you truly understand your emotional fluctuations, the market becomes clearer. It’s at that moment that you begin to truly turn the tide.