2026-01-18 11:01:24

#比特币2026年行情展望 The end-of-year review reveals a harsh trading truth: Never fight the market.

Recently, the market has been quite mysterious. Signs of control are obvious, and the trend repeatedly deviates from conventional patterns. Emotions have completely dominated the price direction. To say how it will move next, honestly, the risk of a reversal and sharp decline is not small. Of course, these judgments ultimately need to be tested by the market.

From a macro perspective, there is an interest rate cut window in January. Looking back at history, such moments usually follow a pattern—strong gains during the anticipation period, but when it actually happens, it’s easier to retrace. If we play according to this rhythm, Bitcoin could potentially fall back to the 80,000 level.

The biggest fear in futures trading is one word: hard. Hard resistance, hard confrontation, headstrong operations will only accelerate account collapse. Truly long-term traders understand one principle: **Trade smoothly, adjust when it falls, don’t fight the market.** The previous high-position shorting strategy has already received phased feedback from the market.

At this point, combined with the interest rate cut expectations and market sentiment, another large-scale upward move in the short term? Not very likely. Instead, be prepared for a structural deep decline.

From a technical perspective: the 98,000 level is under too much pressure, and breaking through it in the short term is quite difficult; if 94,300 cannot hold, it’s highly probable that the price will head straight to the 91,800 zone. Maintain a mainly bearish operation mindset, keeping the rhythm unchanged.

**Operational references**:
Closely observe the performance around 96,000 / 96,800
Use near 97,800 as a structural supplement reference
Set the defense line at 98,300
Target at 92,000; if effectively broken, watch for 89,000

At this crossroads, patience and execution are more important than anything else. Keep the rhythm steady, prioritize risk management, and let time do the talking.

$BTC $ETH $BNB

BTC-0.13%

ETH0.42%

BNB-0.04%

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LadderToolGuy

· 5h ago

Really, don't forcefully confront the market. This statement hits the nail on the head. I used to stubbornly resist, and as a result, my account exploded — a bloody lesson. When the interest rate cut window opens, it's actually easier to get crushed. This tactic is truly unbeatable.

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SandwichDetector

· 5h ago

Hardcore fighting the market is so true, I am the one who has been wasting time doing this... Now I don't dare to hold a heavy position anymore --- I think we still need to be cautious about the rate cut window, the probability of history repeating itself is quite high --- Is it really impossible to hold the line at 98000? It still feels like we can give it a try --- The most heartbreaking thing is that I know I need to adjust but I can't help but add to my position. Is there anyone else like me? --- The phrase "smooth sailing" sounds simple, but actually executing it is really difficult --- If 94300 really breaks, then it will head straight to 92000. I bet it will rebound a bit --- Contracts are just traps, being stubborn is the biggest killer --- This position is a bit awkward now, can't go up and there's no bottom, let's wait and see --- The target of 89000 feels a bit far away, how many waves of震荡 (oscillations) do I have to endure in the middle?

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CodeAuditQueen

· 5h ago

Bluntly confronting the market is like writing an infinite loop in a smart contract—inevitably leading to an OOM crash. --- That 98,000 level is like a re-entrancy protection with a vulnerability—looks solid but is actually very fragile. --- The so-called rate cut window... The difference between market expectations and actual implementation is essentially an information asymmetry attack vector. --- If 94,300 can't hold, it will directly trigger a chain reaction rug down to 91,800. No suspense, just a pure logical chain. --- Instead of hard fighting in the contract, it's better to audit your own operational logic and see if there are any logical loopholes. --- Look at the current fate of those stubbornly shorting; it just shows how foolish it is to compete with the market. --- That 89,000 target is too tempting; be cautious of potential tricks. --- Trading requires even more caution than auditing—one漏洞 can wipe out an account.

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ForkMonger

· 5h ago

nah this "don't fight the market" sermon is just cope for people who couldn't read the governance vectors properly... the real vulnerability isn't fighting it, it's not understanding when the protocol itself is being attacked through price action

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pumpamentalist

· 6h ago

Really going head-to-head with the market is truly deadly. Watching so many people get liquidated and still not learn their lesson, only to realize after suffering heavy losses themselves.

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