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#MSCI未来或纳入数字资产财库企业 **The 3 Core Strategies of Trading: From Technical Analysis to Precise Positioning**
Many people ask me, why can some traders grasp the daily rhythm in 30 minutes, while I keep watching the charts every day and still incur losses? Honestly, it’s not a matter of insufficient effort; the methodology just falls short in these three areas.
**First Pitfall: Being Repeatedly Educated by Trends**
Short-term trading is often cut short, and the root cause is misjudging the direction. My usual approach is to start with the weekly chart—if the weekly EMA21 is upward, I only consider bullish ideas; if downward, I focus on bearish opportunities. It’s not a mystical indicator, but a way to prevent myself from trading against the trend blindly. Then, I look for rhythm on the daily chart, and use Fibonacci on the 4-hour chart to anchor key levels. This adds a layer of framework constraints, making my mindset more stable.
**Second Opportunity: The "Withdrawal Password" at Key Levels**
Whether support levels can hold or resistance levels can be broken often determines the subsequent trend. But it’s not just about seeing if it breaks or not; volume must also be considered. When support levels encounter buying without volume contraction, the probability of continuing to go long is higher; for resistance breakouts, confirmation with increased volume is necessary, as a volume dry breakout often leads to a pullback. This logic runs through many of my trades.
**Third Signal: The Rhythm of High-Probability Entries**
When the 4-hour MACD just crosses above the waterline, and RSI shows an oversold rebound, this time window has a relatively high success rate for going long. Another confirmation is when the daily EMA7 crosses above EMA21, which often indicates a brewing reversal. Once a key level is broken with volume increasing (more than doubling), the risk-reward ratio of entering at that point becomes worth considering.
The core logic is this—trend provides direction, key levels give position, signals give rhythm. When these three elements work smoothly together, you can save half of your time costs.