2026-01-18 12:24:36

CAKE recently showed an S-level short-selling signal on the 4-hour chart. The probability of success for this signal is approximately 54%, with a time window from January 18, 2026, 19:26 to the next day 03:26, totaling an 8-hour validity period.

From a technical perspective, the entry price is locked at 2.085767, with a suggestion to take a light position (around 0.8% of the total). The stop-loss is set at 2.138481, with risk controlled within approximately 2.53%. If the bearish logic plays out, targets can be sold in stages at 2.006695 (1.5x risk-reward ratio), 1.953981 (2.5x), and 1.874910 (4x), gradually realizing profits.

The technical support for the signal comes from multiple dimensions: resistance at key moving average levels, confirmation from volume exceeding the average by over 20%, and the fact that this price level has been tested repeatedly—20 times in history. Currently, the strength score at the key level is 65%, and the overall signal strength reaches 81/100.

In terms of market condition, the ADX strength value is 35.9, indicating a sideways market; volume performance is normal, with a main volume ratio of 1.4x; the long-short ratio shows a bullish pattern at 1.53:1, but the overall trend is downward. The order book buy-sell ratio is 0.81:1, with resistance at 2.100000. From the moving regression track, the upper band is at 2.158653, the lower band at 1.957002, and the Fibonacci 0.618 level is around 2.081622. The convergence of these levels enhances the credibility of the signal.

It is especially important to note that the cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and strict position control and stop-loss execution are crucial. This signal is for reference only; actual trading decisions should also consider your own risk tolerance.

CAKE-0.2%

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BakedCatFanboy

· 6h ago

54% success rate? This bet is a bit risky, I think I'll wait and see first. --- 0.8% position cut? That's too conservative, brother. Feels like there's not much chance this time. --- Fibonacci levels all aligned, but I'm still half skeptical. Truly impressed with myself. --- CAKE has been so volatile lately. Be careful when shorting, don't get caught off guard by a quick reversal. --- Only 8 hours in the time window? It's like working a shift, gotta be precise with the timing. --- Bullish to bearish ratio 1.53:1, but the trend is downward? This chart is a bit messy. --- It's the same old moving averages and Fibonacci analysis. Doing this every day, I'm already fed up. --- After reading carefully, I just want to say: I'm not skilled, better not touch CAKE anymore.

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GasFeeDodger

· 6h ago

54% success rate? Is this gambling or trading haha --- S-grade signals sound impressive, but I still can't trust this kind of probability --- Again it's moving averages and Fibonacci, feels like you need everything to line up to make money --- 0.8% position entry is indeed safe, but I still prefer to wait for clearer signals before acting --- The CAKE asset is quite volatile, stop-loss must be tight --- Long-short ratio of 1.53:1 still leaning bullish, daring to short in a downtrend really takes guts --- Why does it feel like there are a bunch of parameters, in the end, it's still about luck --- I can't trust this time window accurate to the second, the market isn't that predictable --- Confirm a signal with 20% higher trading volume? That's not enough on its own --- Can 20 tests of historical data really suppress the price? Shows there's quite a bit of selling pressure too

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HodlVeteran

· 6h ago

54% success rate? Bro, I advise you not to go all-in; it's no different from flipping a coin. I'm a bit skeptical about CAKE this time. I once lost half my savings because I believed in so-called "S-level signals." Now, when I see these kinds of words, I reflexively want to run. 0.8% position size is okay; at least I didn't bet my entire fortune. That's a lesson I've learned over the years. Last time, I chased a 4x return and got hammered from a high position. Looking at CAKE's current rhythm, it feels a bit familiar.

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WhaleMinion

· 6h ago

54% success rate? Isn't this just gambling on coins? Haha --- Is CAKE really reliable this time? It feels like every time, these detailed data points are presented, but in the end, it's all face-palming. --- A small position of 0.8%, how scared of death do you have to be? --- It's Fibonacci and MA again, giving me a headache. Maybe wait until it breaks below before acting. --- Trading short in a volatile market? Bro, now's not the time to mess around. --- Signal strength of 81 sounds intimidating, but I only pay attention to the last sentence "For reference only" haha --- Long-short ratio of 1.53:1 still favors long, but going short now feels like throwing a tantrum. --- 8-hour window, again taking profits in batches. The complexity of the operation is enough to scare people off.

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BlockchainTherapist

· 6h ago

54% success rate? Brother, isn't that just like flipping a coin? Haha 0.8% position cut, stop loss can't eat many points, feels like this move isn't worth it CAKE, this coin, has been nothing lately, I'm still waiting and watching Why is it another 8-hour window? The timing is too tight to react in time 81 points of signal strength sounds impressive, but in real trading, you still need to rely on your own speed Moving average line suppressed 20 times? Isn't that just trying to go down? I don't believe this time can break through ADX at only 35.9, what does that mean? The trading volume feels a bit fake I'm already tired of Fibonacci 0.618 and similar things; any random set can be used to justify a reason The price of 2.085767 is too precise, which makes it hard to believe; I always feel it will break expectations No matter how you phrase it, the crypto market is just a gamble; position management is the key.

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LightningLady

· 7h ago

54% success rate? Bro, isn't this just flipping a coin? Haha --- Wow, an 8-hour window, and it's 3 a.m. again? I choose sleep over profits --- 0.8% position size. I advise everyone to consider their own psychological price levels. Don't be fooled by 81 points --- 20 historical tests... So why hasn't it broken yet? That's quite intriguing --- Looking at these parameters stacked up, but I still don't trust S-grade signals in a volatile market --- Always say "for reference only," then might as well not refer at all --- The long-short ratio is 1.53, bullish but the trend is downward. This logic is a bit confusing, everyone

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