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Many people ask when they are watching the market: What is the current trend? Should I chase Bitcoin or speculate on altcoins? Actually, the answer is hidden in one indicator—Bitcoin Dominance, also known as BTC.D.
Simply put, BTC.D is the percentage of Bitcoin's market capitalization relative to the total cryptocurrency market capitalization. The formula is straightforward: BTC.D = Bitcoin Market Cap ÷ Total Cryptocurrency Market Cap. It may seem simple, but it reflects the core capital flow logic of the market.
Why is this indicator so crucial? Because Bitcoin is the market's stabilizing anchor. You will find that the market's ups and downs almost always follow Bitcoin's rhythm. This is not a coincidence; it’s because liquidity, market confidence, and the main capital concentration are centered here. To summarize the pattern simply: When Bitcoin rises, the market follows and goes up; when Bitcoin consolidates sideways, the entire market enters a wait-and-see mode.
How to use BTC.D? It can help you judge where the current market funds are flowing.
When BTC.D is rising, it indicates that funds are flowing into Bitcoin. At this time, altcoins tend to weaken, and risks increase. The most prudent approach during this phase is to focus on Bitcoin and conservative leading assets.
When BTC.D is falling, the situation is reversed. Funds are shifting from Bitcoin to altcoins, which often means the altcoin season has truly arrived. At this point, trading opportunities in various small coins emerge.
What about when BTC.D remains sideways? The market is gathering strength. Funds are accumulating, charging for the next wave of行情. This period also tests patience the most.
However, there is a detail that is easy to overlook: the influx of funds into altcoins is usually not random. It often occurs before a major rally or during Bitcoin's decline, when funds seeking volatility start looking for opportunities in altcoins. Therefore, when analyzing BTC.D, it’s best to combine it with real-time market context; looking at data alone can easily lead to pitfalls.