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Recently reviewed last week's trading records and found an interesting pattern—those losing long positions almost all hit the 3320 level. I initially thought this was a good breakout point, looking like a solid entry opportunity for longs, but it turned out to be completely wrong. Upon closer inspection, the 3300 to 3340 range is basically a trap; whether long or short positions open inside it, they don't end well. I later realized that the real entry points are outside this range.
Based on the current pace and trend, the next strategy is quite clear—mainly focus on long opportunities, with short positions only occasionally following the adjustments. Essentially, the core remains bullish.
The process of transitioning from a bear market to a bull market is actually quite规律. It generally involves several stages: initial support appears, panic selling occurs, a rebound happens automatically, a consolidation range forms to吸筹, a second test of support, and then another wave of ultimate震仓—this last step usually involves a rapid plunge. Looking back now, this round of行情 hasn't yet seen the真正的终极震仓. The last bull market's ultimate震仓 dropped directly from 2800 to 2100, a span of over 900 points. Following this规律, this round might push up to the 3900 to 4200 range, then quickly fall back to around 3200 to 3400, after which the bull market rhythm can truly begin.