2026-01-18 18:42:02

Bitcoin supercycle—fact or fiction? The market's split between two camps: bullish believers eyeing 300K territory versus cautious traders hedging toward 50K. Here's the puzzle: does BTC mirror gold's historical price structure, or has the 4-year cycle already run its course and topped out? Looking at cycle 5 fractals and on-chain patterns, the debate hinges on whether we're early in a new surge or late in an exhausted rally. Which scenario fits your read of the current macro backdrop and Bitcoin's technical setup?

BTC0.17%

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StopLossMaster

· 3h ago

The idea of 300,000 sounds pretty good, but I lean more towards trusting the group of 50,000... On-chain data doesn't lie, and the current rebound at this level feels a bit weak.

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LiquidationWatcher

· 3h ago

300,000 or 50,000, honestly I trust on-chain data more. No matter how beautiful those fractal charts are, they are just post-hoc analysis. Wait, is it a bit off to compare gold like that? Can Bitcoin cycles really follow the patterns of traditional assets? Honestly, given the current macro environment, who dares to say what the next move will be... I'm still watching what the on-chain whales are doing. Is there really more to this cycle? It feels like every time people say it's a super cycle, but then...

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MEVSandwichVictim

· 3h ago

300,000 or 50,000, honestly I really can't understand it, it all feels like gambling On-chain data changes every day, with fractals you can always find charts that support your view It's better to just ask yourself how much you can lose I really don't believe in this gold comparison, Bitcoin is just Bitcoin Four-year cycle? Why didn't anyone mention this last year?

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GamefiHarvester

· 3h ago

300,000 or 50,000, honestly it all depends on who has more chips. Anyway, no matter how retail investors like me choose, we're all being harvested... I believe in this 4-year cycle theory, but the analogy with gold feels a bit off. Bitcoin isn't a safe-haven asset; it's more like a gambling game. Fractals are always right no matter what, let's wait and see for the pullback. Brothers, do you really think we're still in the early stages? I feel like this wave is already losing momentum...

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ser_ngmi

· 3h ago

300,000? Wake up, a 4-year cycle has long gone bankrupt --- Instead of looking at those fractals, better see what the main wallet is doing --- Honestly, anyone who can predict accurately would be rich. Now it's all nonsense --- People with 50,000 are scared, those with 300,000 are anxious, all are gambler mentalities --- On-chain data looks good, but a macro expectation of rate cuts is all just a freebie --- Gold analogy? Bitcoin can't even mint gold coins, that's nonsense --- Still discussing super cycles, some people are already buying in --- If you ask me, this round is a game between bagholders and bears --- Fractals look nice, but they can't change policy face --- Early stage or end stage? It depends on how much you still have in your hands

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