2026-01-18 19:39:09

There is a viewpoint that may not be very popular: the two classic indicators, the 50-day moving average and the 200-day moving average, honestly, are not reliable at all.

Think carefully, how many times have you relied on these signals only to get trapped? The traditional moving average crossover strategy has increasingly limited practical significance in the current market environment.

If you've also experienced losses using this set of indicators, feel free to join the discussion. Or try other method combinations and stop sticking to these old rules.

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zkProofGremlin

· 2h ago

Moving averages have been outdated for a long time. If you still believe in them, you're either a newbie or someone addicted to getting chopped up and re-entering the market, haha. --- 50-day and 200-day? Wake up, everyone. That's old-school trading. The market changes so fast now that you can't keep up. --- I've been fooled by these two lines countless times. Later, I realized that big players have much more sophisticated methods. We're still looking at moving averages. --- Really, don't be stubborn. Learn more about on-chain data and the movements of on-chain smart wallets. Those are the real signals. --- The era of making money with moving averages is over. Using them now is just gambling with yourself. --- It's really a human nature issue. Everyone just wants simple and straightforward indicators, but the market is never that gentle. --- That's true. I gave up on that method a long time ago. Now I mainly look at on-chain indicators, and the return rates are skyrocketing.

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OfflineNewbie

· 2h ago

I think that's a bit too absolute. Moving averages aren't completely useless; it just depends on how you use them. --- Once you've been trapped once, you start to deny the entire indicator system. That logic is a bit off. --- As for moving averages, they work really well during good market conditions. During a bear market, you need to change your approach. --- That's right, the era of making money solely through golden crosses and death crosses is over. You need to combine multiple indicators. --- Wait, so which indicators are reliable? Same old story, folks. --- I've also been fooled by the 50 and 200 moving averages. Later, I started looking at volume and support levels together, and it felt a bit better. --- I disagree. I think they can still be useful for judging the overall trend, but the details should be used in conjunction with other tools. --- Bro, are you joking or being serious? It seems all indicators are quite fragile in extreme market conditions.

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On-ChainDiver

· 2h ago

I've been cut twice by this scheme again, and I've long since given up on it.

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0xLostKey

· 2h ago

That's right, I was hit hard at the 50-day moving average before I realized that these indicators are just a facade. Getting chopped up by moving averages is a common tactic. Nowadays, high-frequency traders and institutions are the ones playing this game, and retail investors following the trend have no way out. Instead of waiting for a golden cross, it's better to look at on-chain data and capital flows—that's the real signal.

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