2026-01-20 21:21:36

The native asset of the Plasma chain, XPL, has recently become a market focus, mainly because it serves the DeFi ecosystem, stablecoins, and gaming applications. In 2025, this asset experienced quite a few fluctuations, and its performance under the overall bear market environment was somewhat disappointing.

As of January 20, XPL was quoted at around $0.1249, down 5.03% in 24 hours, with a weekly decline of 21.34%. The circulating supply of 2.1 billion tokens supports a market capitalization of approximately $258 million. In the short term, the market is indeed somewhat panicked, but this price range has actually formed a decent support level.

Looking back at history, XPL rebounded in the second half of 2025, but macro pressures and regulatory uncertainties pushed the price back to around $0.1. Entering 2026, the trend began to shift. Some analysis institutions pointed out that the selling pressure on XPL is weakening, the price is relatively undervalued, and there is an opportunity to "buy the dip." From a candlestick perspective, a symmetrical triangle pattern has formed, with support at $0.066. If it can hold above $0.074, it may surge toward $0.089.

Regarding the full-year trend, market opinions vary widely but are generally optimistic. It is worth noting that in July, 2.5 billion XPL (25% of the total supply) will be unlocked for the team and investors, which could bring significant selling pressure. However, if the ecosystem adoption rate keeps up, this pressure can be absorbed.

Predictions from different institutions vary greatly: some say the price will fluctuate between $0.09 and $0.36 throughout the year, averaging around $0.15; others are more aggressive, believing it could reach a high of $2.91, a rise of over 2200%; some forecast quarterly, with a possible bottom at $0.052 in Q1 and a rebound to $0.55 in Q4, with an annual ROI potential of 313%. A more conservative target price is $0.38, while in a bull market, it could reach $0.75.

Overall, the performance of XPL depends on two key factors: the overall market recovery pace and whether the project ecosystem can truly take off. Currently, it is in a wait-and-see stage.

XPL-6.23%

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ShamedApeSeller

· 5h ago

The 2.5 billion unlock in July is really an invisible bomb. When the time comes, the selling pressure will definitely be overwhelming. Bottom support at 0.052? That's a joke. It was broken through long ago. I believe in the ecosystem landing, but honestly, there hasn't been much movement in the past two years. I'm not confident about the 2.91 prediction; it's too greedy. Waiting for the wind to come is waiting to die. Better to create the wind yourself.

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MentalWealthHarvester

· 5h ago

Will the 2.5 billion tokens unlocked in July crash down? It really决定一切啊 --- Once again, predictions are all over the place. I want to see who can get it right. --- If 0.066 can't hold, should we go straight to hell? --- Landing the ecosystem is the real king, otherwise, more K-line charts are useless. --- Waiting for the wind to come is comfortable, but when will the wind arrive? --- The bottom-fishing in a bear market is only interesting at this price level. --- I don't believe in predictions of 2200%, wake up, everyone. --- If it can truly stabilize at 0.074, then there will be a story to tell. --- The entire ecosystem is unusable, and the gains are all虚的.

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ser_ngmi

· 5h ago

The 2.5 billion unlock in July is going to explode, and it might crash the market again. --- 2200%? Dream on, with the current environment... --- Anyway, just betting on the ecosystem landing, or else everything is pointless. --- The support level at 666 is a bit heartbreaking. Who dares to buy the dip? --- Waiting for the wind? Probably waiting until the end of time haha. --- That resistance at 0.089 feels pretty tough; technically, it looks quite fragile. --- Another aggressive prediction and a conservative target, the market is really divided. --- If the adoption rate of the ecosystem keeps up, it can absorb the selling pressure? Dream on.

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ConsensusBot

· 5h ago

The 2.5 billion tokens unlocked in July is really uncertain, but honestly, it still depends on whether the ecosystem can hold up. Otherwise, no matter how cheap it is, it's useless.

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CafeMinor

· 5h ago

Unlocking 2.5 billion tokens in July? If that happens, I’d be broke, but the ecosystem better be strong.

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