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#预测市场 The big project week is really here, with new opportunities flooding in. Upheaval, Yield Basis, Tea, Limitless, Goated… these projects are launching in quick succession, and some of them look quite interesting to me.
The Bonding Curve pricing mechanism of Upheaval is quite intriguing, ranging from $0.01 to $0.036. The public sale has already oversubscribed by over 870%, which is truly impressive. But ultimately, it still depends on whether trading volume can be sustained and if JumpPad can truly drive ecosystem development. Otherwise, it might just be another story of cutting the leeks.
I'm more interested in Yield Basis, created by Curve founder Michael Egorov, with Kraken partnering with Legion for the launch. This backing is quite solid. It offers Bitcoin-native yields plus an automatic leverage mechanism. It sounds technically impressive, but the valuation was only $50 million at the start of the year, and now the market expects FDV to reach several hundred million. That growth is a bit… you guys can interpret it yourselves.
Prediction markets are extremely hot right now. Limitless has already traded $270 million on Base. Although there have been some accusations of wash trading before, having Coinbase Ventures' backing still adds credibility. However, with so many prediction market projects launching simultaneously, not many will survive in the long run.
Honestly, the quality of these projects varies greatly. Make sure to do your own research before participating—don't just follow the crowd.