Tariff policy developments are at a critical juncture. The U.S. Supreme Court is expected to issue a major ruling today at 10 a.m. Eastern Time regarding trade policies from the Trump era. This decision could fundamentally reshape the global trade landscape.

Why is this ruling so highly anticipated? Because it directly concerns the scope of the President's tariff authority—whether to support, restrict, or overturn the existing trade framework—setting legal benchmarks for future economic policies and sending a strong signal to global markets.

The market is already in a state of alert. U.S. stock futures are experiencing intense volatility, the dollar, gold, and commodities are all reacting sharply, and the VIX fear index is brewing a potential surge. The global bond markets are also awaiting a chain reaction. Industrial manufacturing, the automotive supply chain, tech hardware supply chains, and commodity trading are among the first affected sectors.

Three possible market scenarios are unfolding: maintaining tariffs could reignite trade wars; restricting tariffs might prompt the White House to seek new policy tools; and a vague ruling could leave markets trapped in prolonged uncertainty. Regardless of the outcome, volatility will remain the main theme.

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