Why I'm Holding BTC Around $88K: The 15-Day Trading Perspective

Back on the 15th, when Bitcoin hovered near $95,000, I highlighted the massive temptation in the market. But many pushed back, insisting we’d eventually hit $100,000. Now that BTC sits around $88.69K, I maintain that we won’t see a dramatic collapse—yet everyone wants to predict a drop to $80,000. The point isn’t about being right; it’s about how we actually trade.

Reading the BTC Market Psychology

Here’s what I’ve learned: I can never perfectly time the lowest bottom. I won’t catch that magical exact dip. What I can control is my position sizing. Instead of trying to nail the absolute low, I focus on catching a reasonably low entry. This shift in mindset changes everything. When my position is properly sized, I can simply hold. I’m comfortable with this approach, even when it means getting stuck at prices higher than the ultimate bottom.

Position Management Over Perfect Timing

Yes, there’s a high probability I’ll be underwater at some point. Yes, it takes time to see returns. Yes, market fluctuations will test my resolve and shake my emotions. But I’ve realized this: I won’t sacrifice an 10,000+ point trend move just to avoid being trapped on 1,000-2,000 points of downside. The math doesn’t work in my favor. BTC moves matter more than being perfect.

Why Losing Thousands Beats Missing Trends

The real failure isn’t getting stuck at a temporary peak—it’s missing the entire move because I was waiting for flawless conditions. When I manage my position properly, the temporary loss becomes irrelevant. What matters is the trend. By staying in the game with smart position sizing, I ensure I’m positioned for BTC’s bigger moves, not just protecting myself from smaller fluctuations.

That’s the strategy: healthy positions, realistic expectations, and focus on what matters—the long-term trend, not the day-to-day noise.